CFB · 2026 betting profile
LSU Tigers
4-2 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 4-2 over-under · #8 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 12 PMESPNESPN Unlimited
vs
16Mississippi State Bulldogs
16Mississippi State BulldogsSpreadLSU -15.5
Total57
Moneyline-715
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 12 PM
16Mississippi State4-1
22LSU4-2+15.5-15.5o57u57+500-715LSU -11moved 4.5 to LSUESPNESPN UnlimitedOpen LSU -11 · moved 4.5 to LSUESPNESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 12 PM22LSU4-2
Auburn3-2-6.5+6.5o50.5u50.5-238+195–TV TBATV TBA
16Mississippi State4-122LSU4-2+15.5-15.5o57u57+500-715LSU -11moved 4.5 to LSUESPNESPN UnlimitedOpen LSU -11 · moved 4.5 to LSUESPNESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 12 PM22LSU4-2Auburn3-2-6.5+6.5o50.5u50.5-238+195–TV TBATV TBAOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | +3.7 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +10.9 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -10.8 |
| Favorite | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | +3.7 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -0.3 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +7.7 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -1.8 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +6 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +8 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +1.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +10.5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +4.7 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Kentucky | L 34-35 | -9.5 | L -10.5 | 50.5 | O +18.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs McNeese Cowboys | W 63-14 | -53.5 | L -4.5 | 62.5 | O +14.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Texas A&M | W 35-6 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 52.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Ole Miss | L 24-32 | -3 | L -11 | 58.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Louisiana Tech | W 45-14 | -34.5 | L -3.5 | 54.5 | O +4.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Clemson | W 51-10 | -10 | W +31 | 48.5 | O +12.5 |
Close is LSU's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 4-2 | 67% | +3.7 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 4-9 | 31% | Small sample | 4-9 | 31% | -4.1 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -1.9 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 12-1 | 92% | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 10-4 | 8-6 | 57% | Small sample | 8-6 | 57% | +14.2 |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 5-7-1 | 42% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -1.6 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 7-2 | 78% | Small sample | 6-4 | 60% | +4.2 |
| 2019 | 15-0 | 9-5-1 | 64% | Small sample | 7-7 | 50% | +7.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.