OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

Kentucky Wildcats

5-1 straight up · 5-1 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #24 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 7:30 PMSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited
atOklahoma Sooners
SpreadKentucky +6.5
Total43.5
Moneyline+205
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games5-183%Small sample+5.8
Home3-175%Small sample+1.2
Road2-0100%Small sample+15
Favorite2-0100%Small sample+6.5
Underdog3-175%Small sample+5.5
Conference3-175%Small sample+5.5
Non-conference2-0100%Small sample+6.5
Last 54-180%Small sample+5.1

6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games5-183%Small sample+10.2
Home3-175%Small sample+10.2
Road2-0100%Small sample+10
Conference4-0100%Small sample+13.2
Non-conference1-150%Small sample+4
Last 55-0100%Small sample+12.9

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10vs LSUW 35-34+9.5W +10.550.5O +18.5
Oct 3at South CarolinaW 35-34+2.5W +3.552.5O +16.5
Sep 26vs South AlabamaW 45-21-20.5W +3.554.5O +11.5
Sep 19at Texas A&MW 31-21+16.5W +26.548.5O +3.5
Sep 12vs AlabamaL 17-45+9.5L -18.547.5O +14.5
Sep 5vs Youngstown State PenguinsW 45-13-22.5W +9.561.5U -3.5

Close is Kentucky's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20265-15-183%Small sample5-183%+5.8
20255-75-742%Small sample6-650%-1.9
20244-87-558%Small sample4-833%-4.7
20237-67-654%Small sample9-469%-1.9
20227-68-562%Small sample1-128%-2.2
202110-38-4-167%Small sample8-562%+2.7
20205-64-6-140%Small sample4-736%-0.5
20198-59-469%Small sample6-746%+6.3

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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