OfftheNumber
4-2, 2-4 ATS
34
at
5-1, 5-1 ATS
35
FinalESPNESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
LSU -9.5
UK +9.5
Open –
Total
Over 50.5
Under 50.5

Source: DraftKings.

LSU 34, UK 35. UK covered by 10.5, over by 18.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 4 on Kentucky
LSU 13 Kentucky
Total1 capper on Over
Over 10 Under
Moneyline5 of 5 on LSU
LSU 50 Kentucky

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent LSU Kentucky
Texas A&M
W 35-6 home
+29 · -8.5 Covered
W 31-21 away
+10 · +16.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: LSU won by 29.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Kentucky won by 10.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent LSU Kentucky
Florida
W 20-10 home
+10 · -5.5 Covered
W 38-7 home
+31 · +5.5 Covered
Ole Miss
L 19-24 away
-5 · +3.5 Didn't cover
L 23-30 home
-7 · +7.5 Covered
South Carolina
W 20-10 home
+10 · -8.5 Covered
L 13-35 away
-22 · +6.5 Didn't cover
Vanderbilt
L 24-31 away
-7 · +1.5 Didn't cover
L 17-45 away
-28 · +6.5 Didn't cover

Against 4 common opponents: LSU won by 2.0 on average, 2-2 against the spread. Kentucky lost by 6.5 on average, 2-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 LSU3 Kentucky
Kentucky +8.53
Nick Saban *Line +8.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 10 11:59 AM ET · Flat record 3-3, -0.3u · Original postBig Cat *Line +8.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 7 6:50 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy *Line +8.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 7 6:50 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
LSU +8.51
Tom Fornelli Line +8.5 · Price -112 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 8 9:31 AM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Total
1 Over0 Under
Over 52.51
Rico Bosco *Line 52.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 7 6:50 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on LSU, Kirk Herbstreit on LSU, Desmond Howard on LSU, Pat McAfee on LSU, Nick Saban on LSU

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

LSU WLLWLL

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample4-2 67% overSmall sample
Road0-2 0%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite2-4 33%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Kentucky WLWWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-1 83%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Home3-1 75%Small sample3-1 75% overSmall sample
As underdog3-1 75%Small sample
Last 54-1 80%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10, 2026LSU 34, UK 35LSU -9.5UK covered50.5Over
Oct 9, 2021LSU 21, UK 42UK -2.5UK covered50.5Over

LSU 0-2 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2021-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

LSUUK
4-2Record5-1
2-4Against the spread5-1
4-2Over-under5-1
+3.7Avg cover margin+5.8
42.0Points per game34.7
18.5Points allowed28.0
6.35Yards per play6.14
524.8Yards per game414.2
4.70Rush yards per carry5.10
64.7Completion %66.7
52.2Third down %26.9
+0Turnover margin+11
10Sacks allowed12
51.0Penalty yards per game46.5

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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