OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

Alabama Crimson Tide

5-1 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #1 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMABCESPN Unlimited
at14Tennessee Volunteers
SpreadAlabama -7.5
Total50.5
Moneyline-325
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games4-267%Small sample+10.7
Home2-250%Small sample+4.5
Road2-0100%Small sample+23
Favorite4-267%Small sample+10.7
Conference3-175%Small sample+14.8
Non-conference1-150%Small sample+2.5
Last 53-260%Small sample+10.9

6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games5-183%Small sample+11.8
Home3-175%Small sample+10
Road2-0100%Small sample+15.5
Conference3-175%Small sample+7.5
Non-conference2-0100%Small sample+20.5
Last 54-180%Small sample+13.1

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10vs GeorgiaL 17-20-2.5L -5.551.5U -14.5
Oct 3at Mississippi StateW 56-23-5.5W +27.562.5O +16.5
Sep 26vs South CarolinaW 49-18-12.5W +18.553.5O +13.5
Sep 19vs Florida StateW 50-36-18.5L -4.550.5O +35.5
Sep 12at KentuckyW 45-17-9.5W +18.547.5O +14.5
Sep 5vs East CarolinaW 48-10-28.5W +9.552.5O +5.5

Close is Alabama's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20265-14-267%Small sample5-183%+10.7
202511-48-6-157%Small sample6-940%-0.9
20249-47-654%Small sample6-746%-1.6
202312-29-564%Small sample10-471%+0.7
202211-27-654%Small sample6-746%-2
202113-28-657%Small sample5-8-138%-1.2
202013-09-375%Small sample8-562%+8.3
201911-27-654%Small sample7-654%+0.4

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

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