OfftheNumber
at
14Tennessee Volunteers
5-1, 3-3 ATS
Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PMABCESPN UnlimitedNeyland Stadium

The number

Spread
ALA -7.5 -114
TENN +7.5 -110
Open ALA -7.5
Fair, no vig: ALA -102 / TENN +102 (hold 5.7%)
Best: ALA -7.5 -108 at BetMGM; TENN +8.5 -120 at theScore Bet
Total
Over 50.5 -115
Under 50.5 -105
Fair, no vig: O -104 / U +104 (hold 4.7%)
Best: O 50.5 -110 at theScore Bet; U 51 -110 at Fanatics
Moneyline
ALA -325
TENN +250
Fair, no vig: ALA -268 / TENN +268 (hold 5.0%)
Best: ALA -315 at FanDuel; TENN +280 at theScore Bet

Updated Fri 3:40 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookALATENNOverUnderALA MLTENN ML
DraftKings-7.5-112+7.5-108o50.5-115u50.5-105-340+270
FanDuel-7.5-110+7.5-110o50.5-115u50.5-105-315+250
BetMGM-7.5-108+7.5-110o50.5-115u50.5-105-325+260
Caesars-7.5-110+7.5-110o51-110u51-110-325+260
theScore Bet-8.5+100+8.5-120o50.5-110u50.5-110-360+280
BetRivers-7.5-114+7.5-110o51-109u51-114-315+245
Fanatics-8-110+8-110o51-110u51-110-330+260
Hard Rock Bet-7.5-115+7.5-110o50.5-115u50.5-105-325+250
Bally Bet-7.5-114+7.5-109o51-108u51-113-315+245
betPARX-7.5-114+7.5-109o51-108u51-113-315+245

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

-6-7-8-9-10-11key 7key 10OpenNow
ALA line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
49505152OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the SEC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8:10 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 90 minutes before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Alabama
Out
  • Cayden Jones LB
  • Desmond Umeozulu LB
  • Jeremiah Beaman DL
  • Nick Sherman DB
  • Ryan Coleman-Williams WR
  • Terrance Green DL
Doubtful
  • Racin Delgatty OL
Probable

Justin Hill (LB)

Tennessee
Out
  • Dylan Lewis DB
  • Edrees Farooq DB
  • Ethan Davis TE
  • Jaedon Harmon LB
  • Joakim Dodson WR
  • Wendell Moe Jr. OL
Questionable
  • Faizon Brandon QB

No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 8:10 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

DraftKings says 64% of bets and 72% of the money are on Alabama -7.5.

Per DraftKings Sportsbook, as of Fri 3:10 PM ET. Source. Hand-entered, not live.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 4 on Tennessee
Alabama 13 Tennessee
Total2 of 3 on Under
Over 12 Under

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private. More sportsbook splits: DK betting splits.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 3 common opponents
Opponent Alabama Tennessee
Georgia
W 24-21 away
+3 · +2.5 Covered
L 41-44 home
-3 · +3.5 Covered
L 7-28 neutral
-21 · +1.5 Didn't cover
-
Oklahoma
L 21-23 home
-2 · -6.5 Didn't cover
L 27-33 home
-6 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 34-24 away
+10 · +2.5 Covered
-
Vanderbilt
W 30-14 home
+16 · -13.5 Covered
L 24-45 home
-21 · -2.5 Didn't cover

Against 3 common opponents: Alabama won by 1.2 on average, 3-2 against the spread. Tennessee lost by 10.0 on average, 1-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Alabama3 Tennessee
Tennessee +8.53
Stuckey 1u*Line +8.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 16 1:13 PM ET · Record 41-28-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postBig Cat 1u*Line +8.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy 1u*Line +8.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Alabama +8.51
Taylor Lewan 1u*Line +8.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 14 7:00 PM ET · Record 8-9 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
1 Over2 Under
Under 51.52
Big Cat 1u*Line 51.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postRico Bosco 1u*Line 50.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 48-35 · Original post
Over 50.51
Dave Portnoy 1u*Line 50.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026

Alabama WWLWWL

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample2-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite4-2 67%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Tennessee LWLWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample1-5 17% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample0-4 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-0 100%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 18, 2025TENN 20, ALA 37ALA -8.5ALA covered60.5Under
Oct 19, 2024ALA 17, TENN 24ALA -3.5TENN covered57.5Under
Oct 21, 2023TENN 20, ALA 34ALA -8.5ALA covered47Over
Oct 15, 2022ALA 49, TENN 52ALA -9TENN covered68Over
Oct 23, 2021TENN 24, ALA 52ALA -24.5ALA covered68Over
Oct 24, 2020ALA 48, TENN 17ALA -21.5ALA covered67Under
Oct 19, 2019TENN 13, ALA 35ALA -34TENN covered54.5Under

Alabama 4-3 ATS in these meetings. 7 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

ALATENN
5-1Record5-1
4-2Against the spread3-3
5-1Over-under1-5
+10.7Avg cover margin+0.6
44.2Points per game34.7
20.7Points allowed15.5
6.72Yards per play5.77
452.5Yards per game414.8
4.90Rush yards per carry5.20
67.7Completion %62.7
48.6Third down %35.4
+12Turnover margin+9
16Sacks allowed17
46.5Penalty yards per game57.0

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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