CFB · 2026 betting profile
South Alabama Jaguars
4-2 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #92 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameTue Oct 20, 7:30 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
at
Marshall Thundering Herd
Marshall Thundering HerdSpreadSouth Alabama -2.5
Total60.5
Moneyline-142
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +4.3 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4.7 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4 |
| Favorite | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4.7 |
| Underdog | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +7.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +2.9 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +2.9 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +19.3 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +18.8 |
| Road | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +19.8 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +37 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +10.5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 100% | Small sample | +23.3 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | at Arkansas State | W 56-49 | +3 | W +10 | 60.5 | O +44.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs UL Monroe | W 52-35 | -12.5 | W +4.5 | 57.5 | O +29.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Kentucky | L 21-45 | +20.5 | L -3.5 | 54.5 | O +11.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Ohio | W 41-36 | -7 | L -2 | 49.5 | O +27.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Tulane | L 24-28 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 48.5 | O +3.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs SE Louisiana Lions | W 39-14 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 53.5 | U -0.5 |
Close is South Alabama's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | +4.3 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 8-4 | 67% | -4.2 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +6.6 |
| 2022 | 10-3 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 8-4-1 | 67% | +2.9 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 6-5 | 55% | Small sample | 3-8 | 27% | -1.8 |
| 2019 | 2-10 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +1.6 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.