CFB · 2026 betting profile
Arkansas State Red Wolves
2-4 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #118 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMESPN+
at
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Southern Miss Golden EaglesSpreadArkansas State -6.5
Total62.5
Moneyline-250
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7 PM
Arkansas State2-4
Southern Miss1-4-6.5+6.5o62.5u62.5-250+202ARST -6.5ESPN+Open ARST -6.5ESPN+Sat Oct 24, 7 PM
Georgia State4-1Arkansas State2-4No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+
Arkansas State2-4Southern Miss1-4-6.5+6.5o62.5u62.5-250+202ARST -6.5ESPN+Open ARST -6.5ESPN+Sat Oct 24, 7 PMGeorgia State4-1Arkansas State2-4No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -1.9 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | PK |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Favorite | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | PK |
| Underdog | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -4.2 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -0.8 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +8.2 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +19 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -6.2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -0.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | vs South Alabama | L 49-56 | -3 | L -10 | 60.5 | O +44.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Louisiana | L 20-23 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 49.5 | U -6.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Kennesaw State | W 17-14 | -6.5 | L -3.5 | 53.5 | U -22.5 |
| Sep 19 | at TCU | L 7-31 | +18.5 | L -5.5 | 56.5 | U -18.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs West Georgia Wolves | W 52-7 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 56.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Memphis | L 24-42 | +10.5 | L -7.5 | 52.5 | O +13.5 |
Close is Arkansas State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | -1.9 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 5-6 | 46% | Small sample | 6-5 | 55% | -3.1 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 6-6-1 | 50% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +3.6 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -1 |
| 2021 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 3-9 | 25% | -4 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 50% | Small sample | 6-5 | 55% | -4.8 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -2.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.