CFB · 2026 betting profile
Ole Miss Rebels
4-1 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #23 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMSEC NetworkESPN Unlimited
vs
13Missouri Tigers
13Missouri TigersSpreadOle Miss -5.5
Total58.5
Moneyline-225
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 3:30 PM
13Missouri5-1
9Ole Miss4-1+5.5-5.5o58.5u58.5+180-225MISS -6moved 0.5 to MIZSEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedOpen MISS -6 · moved 0.5 to MIZSEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM9Ole Miss4-1
7Texas4-1+6.5-6.5o53.5u53.5+190-230–ABCESPN UnlimitedABCESPN Unlimited
13Missouri5-19Ole Miss4-1+5.5-5.5o58.5u58.5+180-225MISS -6moved 0.5 to MIZSEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedOpen MISS -6 · moved 0.5 to MIZSEC NetworkESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM9Ole Miss4-17Texas4-1+6.5-6.5o53.5u53.5+190-230–ABCESPN UnlimitedABCESPN UnlimitedOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.1 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Favorite | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +3.2 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Non-conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +0.1 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +9.7 |
| Home | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -6 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +18 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +11.2 |
| Non-conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +7.5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +9.7 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Vanderbilt | W 52-17 | -9.5 | W +25.5 | 54.5 | O +14.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Florida | L 28-52 | +4 | L -20 | 58.5 | O +21.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs LSU | W 32-24 | +3 | W +11 | 58.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Charlotte | W 41-9 | -44.5 | L -12.5 | 59.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 6 | vs Louisville | W 41-38 | -6.5 | L -3.5 | 54.5 | O +24.5 |
Close is Ole Miss's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 13-2 | 9-6 | 60% | Small sample | 8-7 | 53% | +4.4 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 3-10 | 23% | +4.7 |
| 2023 | 11-2 | 8-4-1 | 67% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +2.5 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 4-8-1 | 33% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -2.5 |
| 2021 | 10-3 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 3-10 | 23% | +1.5 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 5-4 | 56% | Small sample | 6-4 | 60% | +3.2 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +1.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.