OfftheNumber
CFB · 2026 betting profile

Vanderbilt Commodores

3-3 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 4-2 over-under · #82 of 138 in our ratings

Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
vsArkansas Razorbacks
SpreadVanderbilt -6
Total50.5
Moneyline-235
Full matchup

Upcoming lines

Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.

Against the spread

SplitATSCover %Real or luck?Avg vs spread
All games3-350%Small sample-6.8
Home1-325%Small sample-11.6
Road2-0100%Small sample+2.8
Favorite1-233%Small sample-7
Underdog2-167%Small sample-6.7
Conference2-167%Small sample-6.7
Non-conference1-233%Small sample-7
Last 53-260%Small sample-6.1

6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

Over-under

SplitO-UOver %Real or luck?Avg vs total
All games4-267%Small samplePK
Home3-175%Small sample+4
Road1-150%Small sample-8
Conference2-167%Small sample-0.5
Non-conference2-167%Small sample+0.5
Last 54-180%Small sample+4.1

Game log with closing lines

DateOpponentResultCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10vs Ole MissL 17-52+9.5L -25.554.5O +14.5
Oct 3at GeorgiaL 14-38+25.5W +1.549.5O +2.5
Sep 26at AuburnL 15-21+10W +454.5U -18.5
Sep 19vs NC StateW 35-31-3W +150.5O +15.5
Sep 12vs DelawareW 35-26-20.5L -11.554.5O +6.5
Sep 5vs Austin Peay GovernorsW 28-9-29.5L -10.557.5U -20.5

Close is Vanderbilt's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season by season

SeasonSUATSCover %Real or luck?O-UOver %Avg vs spread
20263-33-350%Small sample4-267%-6.8
202510-310-377%Small sample9-469%+9.1
20247-69-469%Small sample7-654%+7.7
20232-102-1017%Small sample8-467%-4.3
20225-75-742%Small sample6-650%+1
20212-106-650%Small sample5-742%-3.2
20200-93-538%Small sample4-544%-6.3
20193-93-925%Small sample2-918%-5.9

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.

The Friday Number

One email before the weekend: the lines that moved, the games worth a look, and where they're on.

Free. One email a week. Unsubscribe anytime.