OfftheNumber
Sat Oct 17 · 7 PMESPN2ESPN UnlimitedFirstBank Stadium

The number

Spread
ARK +6 -108
VAN -6 -112
Open VAN -6
Fair, no vig: ARK +102 / VAN -102 (hold 4.8%)
Best: ARK +6.5 -110 at BetMGM; VAN -5.5 -120 at FanDuel
Total
Over 50.5 -109
Under 50.5 -112
Fair, no vig: O +101 / U -101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: O 49.5 -112 at DraftKings; U 50.5 -110 at theScore Bet
Moneyline
ARK +190
VAN -235
Fair, no vig: ARK +203 / VAN -203 (hold 4.6%)
Best: ARK +195 at theScore Bet; VAN -230 at theScore Bet

Updated Fri 3:40 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookARKVANOverUnderARK MLVAN ML
DraftKings+6-108-6-112o49.5-112u49.5-108+195-238
FanDuel+5.5-102-5.5-120o50.5-106u50.5-114+190-235
BetMGM+6.5-110-6.5-108o49.5-112u49.5-105+190-235
Caesars+6-113-6-107o50-110u50-110+190-230
theScore Bet+6.5-115-6.5-105o50.5-110u50.5-110+195-230
BetRivers+6-109-6-113o50.5-109u50.5-113+188-240
Hard Rock Bet+5.5-105-5.5-120o50.5-110u50.5-110+190-230
Bally Bet+6-108-6-112o50.5-108u50.5-112+188-235
betPARX+6-108-6-112o50.5-108u50.5-112+188-235

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

-5-6-7-8key 7OpenNow
VAN line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
49505152OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the SEC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8:10 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 90 minutes before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Arkansas
Out
  • Braydon Lee DB
  • Maddox Lassiter TE
Doubtful
  • Gavin Garretson TE
  • Josiah Clemons OL
Probable

Antonio Jordan (WR)

Vanderbilt
Out
  • Blaze Berlowitz QB
  • Aaron Bryant DL
  • Gunner Givens OL
  • Jamison Curtis LB
  • Jaylin Lackey CB
  • Kahden Smith WR
  • Mitchell Smith OL
  • Nikhil Jefferson DL
Doubtful
  • Dontae Carter S
Questionable
  • Brian Allen Jr. EDG
  • Hayden Bray DL
Probable

Martel Hight (CB)

No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 8:10 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Total1 capper on Over
Over 10 Under

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Arkansas Vanderbilt
Georgia
L 17-45 home
-28 · +24.5 Didn't cover
L 14-38 away
-24 · +25.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: Arkansas lost by 28.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Vanderbilt lost by 24.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Arkansas Vanderbilt
Auburn
L 24-33 home
-9 · -2.5 Didn't cover
W 45-38 home
+7 · -5.5 Covered
LSU
L 22-23 away
-1 · +4.5 Covered
W 31-24 home
+7 · -1.5 Covered
Missouri
L 17-31 home
-14 · +4.5 Didn't cover
W 17-10 home
+7 · -3.5 Covered
Tennessee
L 31-34 away
-3 · +10.5 Covered
W 45-24 away
+21 · +2.5 Covered
Texas
L 37-52 away
-15 · +10.5 Didn't cover
L 31-34 away
-3 · +3.5 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Arkansas lost by 8.4 on average, 2-3 against the spread. Vanderbilt won by 7.8 on average, 5-0 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
No picks
Total
1 Over0 Under
Over 50.51
Big Cat 1u*Line 50.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026

Arkansas LLLWLW

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample1-5 17% overSmall sample
Road0-2 0%Small sample0-2 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-3 25%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Vanderbilt LLWWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample4-2 67% overSmall sample
Home1-3 25%Small sample3-1 75% overSmall sample
As favorite1-2 33%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

These two haven't met since 2019 in our data.

Side by side

ARKVAN
2-4Record3-3
2-4Against the spread3-3
1-5Over-under4-2
-5.4Avg cover margin-6.8
19.3Points per game24.0
27.7Points allowed29.5
4.62Yards per play5.20
327.2Yards per game348.3
3.00Rush yards per carry3.50
59.6Completion %60.2
41.0Third down %37.6
+3Turnover margin+1
16Sacks allowed12
50.8Penalty yards per game70.0

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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