CFB · 2026 betting profile
Toledo Rockets
4-2 straight up · 2-3-1 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #79 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 3:30 PMESPN+
at
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Eastern Michigan EaglesSpreadToledo -6.5
Total52.5
Moneyline-250
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 3:30 PM
Toledo4-2
Eastern Michigan4-3-6.5+6.5o52.5u52.5-250+210TOL -5moved 1.5 to TOLESPN+Open TOL -5 · moved 1.5 to TOLESPN+Sat Oct 24, 12 PM
Western Michigan4-2Toledo4-2No line yet–CBSSNCBSSN
Toledo4-2Eastern Michigan4-3-6.5+6.5o52.5u52.5-250+210TOL -5moved 1.5 to TOLESPN+Open TOL -5 · moved 1.5 to TOLESPN+Sat Oct 24, 12 PMWestern Michigan4-2Toledo4-2No line yet–CBSSNCBSSNOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 | 40% | Small sample | -0.6 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Road | 0-1-1 | 0% | Small sample | -2.8 |
| Favorite | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -0.7 |
| Underdog | 0-0-1 | PK | ||
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -19.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1-1 | 67% | Small sample | +8.9 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -0.7 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +10.7 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +13 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +6 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Non-conference | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +19.2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +12.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Buffalo | L 8-23 | -18.5 | L -33.5 | 54.5 | U -23.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Ball State | W 39-24 | -20.5 | L -5.5 | 52.5 | O +10.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs San Diego State | W 41-16 | -2.5 | W +22.5 | 50.5 | O +6.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Temple | W 49-48 | -4.5 | L -3.5 | 48.5 | O +48.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W 63-10 | -36.5 | W +16.5 | 52.5 | O +20.5 |
| Sep 4 | at Michigan State | L 20-30 | +10 | P PK | 48.5 | O +1.5 |
Close is Toledo's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 2-3-1 | 40% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 8-5 | 10-3 | 77% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +5.8 |
| 2024 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -1 |
| 2023 | 11-3 | 7-7 | 50% | Small sample | 7-7 | 50% | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 9-5 | 5-9 | 36% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | -2.5 |
| 2021 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | +1 |
| 2019 | 6-6 | 3-8-1 | 27% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -8.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.