CFB · 2026 betting profile
Buffalo Bulls
3-3 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #108 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 1 PMESPN+
vs
Massachusetts Minutemen
Massachusetts MinutemenSpreadBuffalo -7
Total42.5
Moneyline-270
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 1 PM
Massachusetts4-2
Buffalo3-3+7-7o42.5u42.5+220-270–ESPN+ESPN+Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM
Bowling Green2-4Buffalo3-3No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+
Massachusetts4-2Buffalo3-3+7-7o42.5u42.5+220-270–ESPN+ESPN+Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PMBowling Green2-4Buffalo3-3No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -0.3 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -9.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +8.8 |
| Favorite | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -19.5 |
| Underdog | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +9.2 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +22 |
| Non-conference | 0-4 | 0% | Small sample | -11.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +2.5 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.2 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -16.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +7 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +0.9 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Toledo | W 23-8 | +18.5 | W +33.5 | 54.5 | U -23.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Western Michigan | L 17-20 | +13.5 | W +10.5 | 46.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Robert Morris Colonials | W 31-28 | -27.5 | L -24.5 | 46.5 | O +12.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Penn State | L 13-55 | +39.5 | L -2.5 | 48.5 | O +19.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Florida International | L 20-33 | +8.5 | L -4.5 | 47.5 | O +5.5 |
| Sep 3 | vs UAlbany Great Danes | W 21-17 | -18.5 | L -14.5 | 47.5 | U -9.5 |
Close is Buffalo's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 5-7 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -5.5 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +4.8 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | -3.2 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +2.7 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 3-8-1 | 27% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -3.6 |
| 2020 | 6-1 | 5-2 | 71% | Small sample | 4-3 | 57% | +5.5 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | +4.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.