OfftheNumber
4-2, 2-3-1 ATS
at
Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PMESPN+Rynearson Stadium

The number

Spread
TOL -6.5 -120
EMU +6.5 -105
Open TOL -5 moved 1.5
Fair, no vig: TOL -106 / EMU +106 (hold 5.8%)
Best: TOL -6.5 -114 at Caesars; EMU +7 -114 at Bally Bet
Total
Over 52.5 -110
Under 52.5 -108
Fair, no vig: O -101 / U +101 (hold 4.3%)
Best: O 52.5 -110 at theScore Bet; U 53.5 -110 at Hard Rock Bet
Moneyline
TOL -250
EMU +210
Fair, no vig: TOL -221 / EMU +221 (hold 3.7%)
Best: TOL -235 at BetMGM; EMU +210 at theScore Bet

Updated Fri 3:10 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookTOLEMUOverUnderTOL MLEMU ML
DraftKings-6.5-115+6.5-105o52.5-115u52.5-105-245+200
FanDuel-6.5-118+6.5-102o52.5-115u52.5-105-250+202
BetMGM-6.5-120+6.5-108o52.5-110u52.5-108-235+200
Caesars-6.5-114+6.5-106o52.5-110u52.5-110-250+200
theScore Bet-6.5-120+6.5+100o52.5-110u52.5-110-250+210
BetRivers-7-108+7-115o53.5-109u53.5-114-275+210
Hard Rock Bet-6.5-120+6.5+100o53.5-105u53.5-110-275+210
Bally Bet-7-107+7-114o53.5-107u53.5-113-275+210
betPARX-7-107+7-114o53.5-107u53.5-113-275+210

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: none (TOL -5 to TOL -6.5).

-2-3-4-5-6-7-8key 3key 7OpenNow
TOL line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
51525354OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Toledo Eastern Michigan
Michigan St
L 20-30 away
-10 · +10 Push
L 7-35 away
-28 · +17.5 Didn't cover

Against 1 common opponent: Toledo lost by 10.0 on average, 0-0-1 against the spread. Eastern Michigan lost by 28.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 7 common opponents
Opponent Toledo Eastern Michigan
Ball St
W 38-9 home
+29 · -28.5 Covered
W 24-9 away
+15 · -2.5 Covered
Bowling Green
L 23-28 away
-5 · -10.5 Didn't cover
W 27-21 home
+6 · -3.5 Covered
Central Michigan
W 21-3 away
+18 · -10.5 Covered
L 13-24 away
-11 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Kentucky
L 16-24 away
-8 · +9.5 Covered
L 23-48 away
-25 · +26.5 Covered
Miami (OH)
W 24-3 away
+21 · -6.5 Covered
L 30-44 away
-14 · +11.5 Didn't cover
Northern Illinois
W 42-3 home
+39 · -15.5 Covered
W 16-10 home
+6 · +1.5 Covered
Western Michigan
L 13-14 away
-1 · -11.5 Didn't cover
L 21-31 home
-10 · +7 Didn't cover

Against 7 common opponents: Toledo won by 13.3 on average, 5-2 against the spread. Eastern Michigan lost by 4.7 on average, 4-3 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026

Toledo PWLWLL

ATSTotals
All games2-3-1 40%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Road0-1-1 0%Small sample2-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite2-3 40%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Eastern Michigan LLLWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-4 43%Small sample2-5 29% overSmall sample
Home2-1 67%Small sample0-3 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-2 33%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

7 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Nov 2, 2024TOL 29, EMU 28TOL -10.5EMU covered54.5Over
Nov 8, 2023EMU 23, TOL 49TOL -20.5TOL covered45Over
Oct 29, 2022TOL 27, EMU 24TOL -4EMU covered54Under
Nov 2, 2021EMU 52, TOL 49TOL -9.5EMU covered54Over
Nov 18, 2020TOL 45, EMU 28TOL -6.5TOL covered61.5Over
Oct 26, 2019EMU 34, TOL 37TOL -3Push52Over

Toledo 2-3 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

TOLEMU
4-2Record4-3
2-3-1Against the spread3-4
5-1Over-under2-5
-0.6Avg cover margin-1.2
36.7Points per game22.6
25.2Points allowed24.7
6.61Yards per play4.83
454.8Yards per game326.3
5.10Rush yards per carry3.80
63.1Completion %61.8
43.4Third down %43.1
+5Turnover margin+4
3Sacks allowed8
69.0Penalty yards per game43.4

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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