Source: DraftKings.
TOL 20, MSU 30. Push, over by 1.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
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No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Toledo |  Michigan St |
|---|---|---|
 Western Michigan | L 13-14 away -1 · -11.5 Didn't cover | W 23-6 home +17 · -22.5 Didn't cover |
Against 1 common opponent: Toledo lost by 1.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Michigan St won by 17.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Toledo PWLWLL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3-1 40%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-1-1 0%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 0-0-1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Michigan State PWWLLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2-1 60%Small sample | 2-4 33% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1-1 67%Small sample | 2-2 50% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-0-1 100%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | TOL 20, MSU 30 | MSU -10 | Push | 48.5 | Over |
1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
 TOL | MSU  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 2-4 |
| 2-3-1 | Against the spread | 3-2-1 |
| 5-1 | Over-under | 2-4 |
| -0.6 | Avg cover margin | -1.3 |
| 36.7 | Points per game | 21.3 |
| 25.2 | Points allowed | 25.7 |
| 6.61 | Yards per play | 4.55 |
| 454.8 | Yards per game | 311.7 |
| 5.10 | Rush yards per carry | 3.30 |
| 63.1 | Completion % | 66.5 |
| 43.4 | Third down % | 42.5 |
| +5 | Turnover margin | +2 |
| 3 | Sacks allowed | 19 |
| 69.0 | Penalty yards per game | 39.8 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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