CFB · 2026 betting profile
Sam Houston Bearkats
1-5 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 2-4 over-under · #127 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameWed Oct 21, 8 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
vs
New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State AggiesSpreadSam Houston +2.5
Total46.5
Moneyline+114
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +4.4 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +11 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -2.2 |
| Favorite | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +38 |
| Underdog | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.3 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -15 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +14.1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +2.8 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -8.7 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -12.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -4.8 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -24.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -8.9 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | vs Western Kentucky | L 3-16 | +1.5 | L -11.5 | 53.5 | U -34.5 |
| Oct 8 | at Liberty | L 3-35 | +13.5 | L -18.5 | 52.5 | U -14.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas Tech | L 14-49 | +34.5 | L -0.5 | 55.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nicholls Colonels | W 59-0 | -21 | W +38 | 50.5 | O +8.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Tulsa | L 17-23 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 51.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 5 | at Troy | L 21-24 | +15.5 | W +12.5 | 52.5 | U -7.5 |
Close is Sam Houston's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | +4.4 |
| 2025 | 2-10 | 3-9 | 25% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -8.1 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 6-5-1 | 55% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | 0-1 | 0% | +5 |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | 1-0 | 100% | +1.5 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.