
Sacramento State Hornets
1-5 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 2-4 over-under · #138 of 138 in our ratings
Upcoming lines
Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -8.8 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -1.3 |
| Road | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -16.2 |
| Favorite | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +13.5 |
| Underdog | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -13.2 |
| Conference | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -14.3 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -3.2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -10.2 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -2.8 |
| Home | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -1.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -1.9 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Bowling Green | L 10-38 | +9.5 | L -18.5 | 43.5 | O +4.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Massachusetts | L 6-35 | +6 | L -23 | 49.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs North Dakota State | L 10-31 | +26.5 | W +5.5 | 50.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Fresno State | L 3-49 | +17.5 | L -28.5 | 43.5 | O +8.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | W 52-0 | -38.5 | W +13.5 | 56.5 | U -4.5 |
| Aug 29 | at Eastern Michigan | L 17-28 | +9.5 | L -1.5 | 52.5 | U -7.5 |
Close is Sacramento State's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | -8.8 |
| 2025 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | 0-1 | 0% | +6.5 |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | 2-0 | 100% | -6.5 |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | 0-1 | 0% | +14 |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | 0-1 | 0% | +27 |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | 1-0 | 100% | +11.5 |
| 2019 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | 0-1 | 0% | +16.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.