Bowling Green Falcons
2-4 straight up · 3-3 ATS · 4-2 over-under · #106 of 138 in our ratings
Ball State CardinalsUpcoming lines
Ball State1-5
Bowling Green2-4+6.5-6.5o47.5u47.5+190-235BGSU -7.5moved 1 to BALLESPN+Open BGSU -7.5 · moved 1 to BALLESPN+Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PMBowling Green2-4
Buffalo3-3No line yet–ESPN+ESPN+Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | -1.7 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +6.5 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -9.8 |
| Favorite | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +5 |
| Underdog | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -5 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +16.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -10.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -0.3 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -13.5 |
| Road | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +11.8 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +3.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +2.3 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Sacramento State | W 38-10 | -9.5 | W +18.5 | 43.5 | O +4.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Miami (OH) | W 24-20 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 41.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs South Florida | L 6-14 | +17.5 | W +9.5 | 48.5 | U -28.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Iowa State | L 7-55 | +22.5 | L -25.5 | 43.5 | O +18.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Nebraska | L 7-56 | +30.5 | L -18.5 | 48.5 | O +14.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Tarleton State Texans | L 13-20 | -1.5 | L -8.5 | 49.5 | U -16.5 |
Close is Bowling Green's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | 4-2 | 67% | -1.7 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -1.8 |
| 2024 | 7-6 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +6.8 |
| 2022 | 6-7 | 4-8-1 | 33% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -2.4 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 8-4 | 67% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +3.1 |
| 2020 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | -13.4 |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 25% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | -6.1 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.