OfftheNumber
Sat Oct 17 · 12 PMESPN+Doyt L. Perry Stadium

The number

Spread
BALL +6.5 -110
BGSU -6.5 -110
Open BGSU -7.5 moved 1
Fair, no vig: BALL -100 / BGSU -100 (hold 4.8%)
Best: BALL +6.5 -105 at DraftKings; BGSU -6.5 -108 at BetMGM
Total
Over 47.5 -105
Under 47.5 -115
Fair, no vig: O +104 / U -104 (hold 4.7%)
Best: O 46.5 -120 at theScore Bet; U 47.5 -110 at Hard Rock Bet
Moneyline
BALL +190
BGSU -235
Fair, no vig: BALL +203 / BGSU -203 (hold 4.6%)
Best: BALL +210 at DraftKings; BGSU -230 at Hard Rock Bet

Updated Fri 3:40 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookBALLBGSUOverUnderBALL MLBGSU ML
DraftKings+6.5-105-6.5-115o47.5-105u47.5-115+210-258
FanDuel+6.5-110-6.5-110o47.5-106u47.5-114+190-235
BetMGM+6.5-110-6.5-108o47.5-105u47.5-115+200-235
Caesars+6.5-106-6.5-114o47-109u47-110+205-250
theScore Bet+6.5-105-6.5-115o46.5-120u46.5+100+210-250
BetRivers+6.5-112-6.5-110o47.5-105u47.5-120+185-235
Hard Rock Bet+6.5-110-6.5-110o47.5-110u47.5-110+185-230
Bally Bet+6.5-110-6.5-109o47.5-104u47.5-117+185-235
betPARX+6.5-110-6.5-109o47.5-104u47.5-117+185-235

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: 7 (BGSU -7.5 to BGSU -6.5). In football, moving through 3 or 7 changes a bet's value far more than other half points.

-5-6-7-8-9-10-11key 7key 10OpenNow
BGSU line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
46474849OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on Ball St
Ball St 10 Bowling Green

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Ball St Bowling Green
Akron
W 42-28 home
+14 · -1.5 Covered
L 16-19 home
-3 · -2.5 Didn't cover
Eastern Michigan
L 9-24 home
-15 · +2.5 Didn't cover
L 21-27 away
-6 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Kent St
W 17-13 home
+4 · -3.5 Covered
L 21-24 away
-3 · -7.5 Didn't cover
Ohio
W 20-14 home
+6 · +14.5 Covered
L 20-35 away
-15 · +7.5 Didn't cover
Toledo
L 9-38 away
-29 · +28.5 Didn't cover
W 28-23 home
+5 · +10.5 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Ball St lost by 4.0 on average, 3-2 against the spread. Bowling Green lost by 4.4 on average, 1-4 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Ball St0 Bowling Green
Ball St -7.51
Stuckey 1u*Line -7.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 16 1:13 PM ET · Record 41-28-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026

Ball State LWLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Road1-3 25%Small sample3-1 75% overSmall sample
As underdog2-3 40%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Bowling Green LLLWWW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample4-2 67% overSmall sample
Home2-1 67%Small sample1-2 33% overSmall sample
As favorite1-1 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Nov 23, 2024BGSU 38, BALL 13BGSU -12.5BGSU covered54.5Under
Nov 1, 2023BALL 21, BGSU 24BGSU -5BALL covered39.5Over

Ball State 1-1 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

BALLBGSU
1-5Record2-4
3-3Against the spread3-3
5-1Over-under4-2
-2.5Avg cover margin-1.7
18.3Points per game15.8
39.0Points allowed29.2
4.71Yards per play4.66
308.0Yards per game274.7
3.90Rush yards per carry3.30
63.8Completion %64.7
28.9Third down %36.1
+1Turnover margin+3
14Sacks allowed8
72.5Penalty yards per game51.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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