Massachusetts Minutemen
4-2 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 2-4 over-under · #112 of 138 in our ratings
Buffalo BullsUpcoming lines
Massachusetts4-2
Buffalo3-3+7-7o42.5u42.5+220-270–ESPN+ESPN+Fri Oct 23, 7 PMMassachusetts4-2
UConn3-3No line yet–CBSSNCBSSNOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +6.5 |
| Home | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -7.4 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +34.2 |
| Favorite | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | -2.9 |
| Underdog | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +25.2 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +13.5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | -1.3 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -2.7 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -3 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -3.7 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Miami (OH) | L 19-20 | +6 | W +5 | 44.5 | U -5.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Eastern Michigan | L 14-38 | -5.5 | L -29.5 | 49.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Sacramento State | W 35-6 | -6 | W +23 | 49.5 | U -8.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Stonehill Skyhawks | W 36-14 | -30.5 | L -8.5 | 50.5 | U -0.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Sacred Heart Pioneers | W 37-10 | -23.5 | W +3.5 | 53.5 | U -6.5 |
| Sep 3 | at Rutgers | W 37-21 | +29.5 | W +45.5 | 55.5 | O +2.5 |
Close is Massachusetts's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | +6.5 |
| 2025 | 0-12 | 3-9 | 25% | Small sample | 9-3 | 75% | -12.2 |
| 2024 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -3.1 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 8-4 | 67% | -3.9 |
| 2022 | 1-11 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 4-8 | 33% | -1.1 |
| 2021 | 1-11 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | -3.2 |
| 2020 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | 1-3 | 25% | -1 |
| 2019 | 1-11 | 2-10 | 17% | Small sample | 9-3 | 75% | -10.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.