The number
Updated Fri 3:10 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (10)
| Book | UVA | SMU | Over | Under | UVA ML | SMU ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | o51.5-115 | u51.5-105 | +270 | -340 |
| FanDuel | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-110 | +280 | -360 |
| BetMGM | +9.5-108 | -9.5-110 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-108 | +275 | -350 |
| Caesars | +9.5-113 | -9.5-107 | o51.5-114 | u51.5-106 | +265 | -335 |
| theScore Bet | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | o51.5-105 | u51.5-115 | +270 | -340 |
| BetRivers | +9-110 | -9-113 | o51.5-112 | u51.5-110 | +295 | -400 |
| Fanatics | +9.5-105 | -9.5-115 | o51.5-115 | u51.5-105 | +275 | -350 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-110 | +300 | -400 |
| Bally Bet | +9-109 | -9-112 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-109 | +295 | -400 |
| betPARX | +9-109 | -9-112 | o51.5-110 | u51.5-109 | +295 | -400 |
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Line movement
Key numbers crossed: none (SMU -8.5 to SMU -9.5).
Injury report
From the ACC availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 9 PM ET. Schools file it the three nights before the game and 2 hours before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report
Virginia- Alex Dunn DB
- Bull Richardson DT
- Chase Morrison DT
- Corey Costner S
- Devon Baxter DE
- Dillon Newton-Short WR
- Dylan Biehl OL
- Grant Ellinger OL
- Isaiah Reese LB
- Jack Stevens RB
- Jae’Oyn Williams ATH
- Jason Hammond DT
- Jewett Hayes DE
- Justin Zames TE
- Kameron Courtney WR
- Noah Hartsoe OL
- Omillio Agard CB
- Peyton Lewis RB
- Rico Flores Jr. WR
- Tim Hamann K
- Triston Ward WR
- Tyler Simmons DT
- Brandyn Hillman S
- Caleb Hardy LB
Alex Payne (OL)
SMU- Abel Hoopii OL
- Carterrious Brown WR
- Daylon Singleton WR
- Dramekco Green RB
- I'Zayah Young LB
- Ira Singleton IV DE
- Kenneth Goodwin III LB
- Link Rhodes RB
- Ahmaad Moses S
- Nick Reed K
No status changes since the first report we saw (Thu 9 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Tracker bettors
Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Virginia |  SMU |
|---|---|---|
 Florida St | L 7-38 away -31 · -1.5 Didn't cover | W 27-24 away +3 · -3 Push |
Against 1 common opponent: Virginia lost by 31.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. SMU won by 3.0 on average, 0-0-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
| Opponent | Virginia | SMU |
|---|---|---|
 California | W 31-21 away +10 · -5.5 Covered | L 35-38 away -3 · -13.5 Didn't cover |
 Louisville | W 30-27 away +3 · +6.5 Covered | W 38-6 home +32 · -3.5 Covered |
 Stanford | W 48-20 home +28 · -16.5 Covered | W 34-10 home +24 · -19.5 Covered |
 Wake Forest | L 9-16 home -7 · -7.5 Didn't cover | L 12-13 away -1 · -5.5 Didn't cover |
Against 4 common opponents: Virginia won by 8.5 on average, 3-1 against the spread. SMU won by 13.0 on average, 2-2 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026
Virginia WWLWLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 50%Small sample | 3-3 50% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-1 0%Small sample | 0-1 0% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | none | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
SMU PWLLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-3-1 25%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| Home | 1-2 33%Small sample | 1-2 33% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-2-1 33%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 25%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | SMU 33, UVA 7 | SMU -10.5 | SMU covered | 53.5 | Under |
Virginia 0-1 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
| UVA | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread | 1-3-1 |
| 3-3 | Over-under | 2-3 |
| -2.5 | Avg cover margin | -5.3 |
| 32.8 | Points per game | 34.6 |
| 19.2 | Points allowed | 23.0 |
| 5.27 | Yards per play | 6.85 |
| 379.3 | Yards per game | 479.2 |
| 3.90 | Rush yards per carry | 4.00 |
| 64.6 | Completion % | 75.6 |
| 33.3 | Third down % | 51.6 |
| +8 | Turnover margin | +2 |
| 20 | Sacks allowed | 6 |
| 51.7 | Penalty yards per game | 73.8 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.