Source: DraftKings.
ILL 38, MSU 37. MSU covered by 1.5, over by 26.5.
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
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No common opponents yet this season.
| Opponent |  Illinois |  Michigan St |
|---|---|---|
 Indiana | L 10-63 away -53 · +7.5 Didn't cover | L 13-38 away -25 · +26.5 Covered |
 Maryland | W 24-6 home +18 · -15.5 Covered | W 38-28 neutral +10 · -4 Covered |
 USC | W 34-32 home +2 · +6.5 Covered | L 31-45 away -14 · +18.5 Covered |
 Western Michigan | W 38-0 home +38 · -27.5 Covered | W 23-6 home +17 · -22.5 Didn't cover |
Against 4 common opponents: Illinois won by 1.2 on average, 3-1 against the spread. Michigan St lost by 3.0 on average, 3-1 against the spread.
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Illinois LLWWLL| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 33%Small sample | 5-1 83% overSmall sample |
| Road | 1-1 50%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 1-4 20%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Michigan State PWWLLW| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2-1 60%Small sample | 2-4 33% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-1-1 67%Small sample | 2-2 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 2-2 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ILL 38, MSU 37 | ILL -2.5 | MSU covered | 48.5 | Over |
| Nov 16, 2024 | MSU 16, ILL 38 | ILL -1.5 | ILL covered | 47.5 | Over |
| Nov 5, 2022 | MSU 23, ILL 15 | ILL -16 | MSU covered | 41.5 | Under |
| Nov 9, 2019 | ILL 37, MSU 34 | MSU -14.5 | ILL covered | 47 | Over |
Illinois 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
 ILL | MSU  | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 2-4 |
| 2-4 | Against the spread | 3-2-1 |
| 5-1 | Over-under | 2-4 |
| -4.8 | Avg cover margin | -1.3 |
| 31.8 | Points per game | 21.3 |
| 27.8 | Points allowed | 25.7 |
| 6.42 | Yards per play | 4.55 |
| 405.5 | Yards per game | 311.7 |
| 5.10 | Rush yards per carry | 3.30 |
| 66.0 | Completion % | 66.5 |
| 43.3 | Third down % | 42.5 |
| -1 | Turnover margin | +2 |
| 6 | Sacks allowed | 19 |
| 38.7 | Penalty yards per game | 39.8 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.
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