CFB · 2026 betting profile
Illinois Fighting Illini
3-3 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 5-1 over-under · #56 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, TBATV TBA
vs
Oregon Ducks
Oregon DucksLineNot posted yet
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -4.8 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -7.4 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Favorite | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -6.2 |
| Underdog | 1-0 | 100% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -5.2 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -4.3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -4.4 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 5-1 | 83% | Small sample | +5.5 |
| Home | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | -0.2 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +17 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Non-conference | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +6.8 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +4.3 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Michigan State | W 38-37 | -2.5 | L -1.5 | 48.5 | O +26.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Purdue | L 17-24 | -9.5 | L -16.5 | 62.5 | U -21.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Ohio State | L 19-42 | +25.5 | W +2.5 | 53.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Southern Illinois Salukis | W 48-10 | -34.5 | W +3.5 | 55.5 | O +2.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Duke | L 27-31 | -6 | L -10 | 51.5 | O +6.5 |
| Sep 3 | vs UAB | W 42-23 | -25.5 | L -6.5 | 53.5 | O +11.5 |
Close is Illinois's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 5-1 | 83% | -4.8 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 8-4-1 | 67% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -1.4 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | +6.2 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 3-9 | 25% | Small sample | 6-5-1 | 55% | -4.6 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 4-8-1 | 33% | +7.3 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 7-4-1 | 64% | Small sample | 3-9 | 25% | +4.8 |
| 2020 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 38% | Small sample | 5-3 | 62% | -1.9 |
| 2019 | 6-7 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 3-9-1 | 25% | +4.5 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.