OfftheNumber
24SMU Mustangs
4-1, 1-3-1 ATS
31
at
41
FinalESPN2ESPN Unlimited

Closing number

Spread
SMU +3
LOU -3
Open –
Total
Over 57.5
Under 57.5

Source: DraftKings.

SMU 31, LOU 41. LOU covered by 7, over by 14.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread4 of 4 on Louisville
SMU 04 Louisville
Total3 of 4 on Over
Over 31 Under
Moneyline4 of 5 on Louisville
SMU 14 Louisville

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent SMU Louisville
Boston College
W 45-13 away
+32 · -10.5 Covered
W 38-24 home
+14 · -25.5 Didn't cover
California
L 35-38 away
-3 · -13.5 Didn't cover
L 26-29 home
-3 · -18.5 Didn't cover
Clemson
W 35-24 away
+11 · +5.5 Covered
L 19-20 home
-1 · -2.5 Didn't cover
Miami
W 26-20 home
+6 · +6.5 Covered
W 24-21 away
+3 · +10.5 Covered

Against 4 common opponents: SMU won by 11.5 on average, 3-1 against the spread. Louisville won by 3.2 on average, 1-3 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 SMU4 Louisville
Louisville -1.54
Taylor Lewan *Line -1.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 18 1:01 PM ET · Flat record 8-9, -0.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postJosh Pate 1u*Line -1.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 6:45 PM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postRico Bosco *Line -1.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 1:14 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original postDave Portnoy *Line -1.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 1:14 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
3 Over1 Under
Over 59.53
Will Compton *Line 59.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 18 1:08 PM ET · Flat record 8-11, -3.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postBig Cat *Line 59.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 1:14 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy *Line 59.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 16 1:14 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Under 59.51
Tom Fornelli Line 59.5 · Price -115 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 17 9:02 AM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Louisville, Kirk Herbstreit on Louisville, Desmond Howard on Louisville, Pat McAfee on SMU, Nick Saban on Louisville

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

SMU PWLLL

ATSTotals
All games1-3-1 25%Small sample2-3 40% overSmall sample
Road0-1-1 0%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog0-1 0%Small sample
Last 51-3-1 25%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Louisville WWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Home3-1 75%Small sample3-1 75% overSmall sample
As favorite3-2 60%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 19, 2026SMU 31, LOU 41LOU -3LOU covered57.5Over
Nov 22, 2025LOU 6, SMU 38SMU -3.5SMU covered50.5Under
Oct 5, 2024SMU 34, LOU 27LOU -6.5SMU covered55.5Over

SMU 2-1 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2024-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

SMULOU
4-1Record3-3
1-3-1Against the spread4-2
2-3Over-under5-1
-5.3Avg cover margin+2.3
34.6Points per game39.5
23.0Points allowed27.7
6.85Yards per play7.57
479.2Yards per game494.5
4.00Rush yards per carry6.30
75.6Completion %69.6
51.6Third down %44.8
+2Turnover margin+7
6Sacks allowed11
73.8Penalty yards per game74.5

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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