NFL · 2026 betting profile
New England Patriots
3-2 straight up · 3-1-1 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #4 of 32 in our ratings
Next gameSun Oct 18, 1 PMCBSParamount+
vs
New York Jets
New York JetsSpreadNew England -7
Total43.5
Moneyline-350
Upcoming lines
Sun Oct 18, 1 PM
New York2-3
New England3-2+7-7o43.5u43.5+275-350NE -7CBSParamount+Open NE -7CBSParamount+Thu Oct 22, 8:15 PMNew England3-2
Chicago3-2+2.5-2.5o49u49+110-130–Prime VideoPrime Video
New York2-3New England3-2+7-7o43.5u43.5+275-350NE -7CBSParamount+Open NE -7CBSParamount+Thu Oct 22, 8:15 PMNew England3-2Chicago3-2+2.5-2.5o49u49+110-130–Prime VideoPrime VideoOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-1-1 | 75% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Home | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +18.5 |
| Road | 1-1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -5.3 |
| Favorite | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +18.5 |
| Underdog | 1-1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -5.3 |
| Non-conference | 3-1-1 | 75% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 | 75% | Small sample | +4.2 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -4.7 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -4.7 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -4.7 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs Las Vegas | W 45-17 | -3.5 | W +24.5 | 45.5 | O +16.5 |
| Oct 4 | at Buffalo | W 29-26 | +7 | W +10 | 49.5 | O +5.5 |
| Sep 27 | at Jacksonville | L 6-35 | +3 | L -26 | 46.5 | U -5.5 |
| Sep 20 | vs Pittsburgh | W 20-3 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 41.5 | U -18.5 |
| Sep 9 | at Seattle | L 10-13 | +3 | P PK | 44.5 | U -21.5 |
Close is New England's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 3-1-1 | 75% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | +4.2 |
| 2025 | 17-4 | 14-7 | 67% | Could be luck | 12-9 | 57% | +5.5 |
| 2024 | 4-13 | 8-9 | 47% | Small sample | 11-6 | 65% | -1.4 |
| 2023 | 4-13 | 5-11-1 | 31% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -4.2 |
| 2022 | 8-9 | 7-9-1 | 44% | Small sample | 8-9 | 47% | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 10-8 | 10-8 | 56% | Small sample | 10-8 | 56% | +4.5 |
| 2020 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 44% | Small sample | 5-10-1 | 33% | -1.6 |
| 2019 | 12-5 | 9-8 | 53% | Small sample | 5-12 | 29% | +1.6 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.