OfftheNumber
3-2, 3-2 ATS
at
2-3, 2-3 ATS
Sun Oct 18 · 1 PMFOXFOX OneMercedes-Benz Stadium

The number

Spread
CHI -1 -113
ATL +1 -109
Open –
Fair, no vig: CHI -102 / ATL +102 (hold 5.2%)
Best: CHI +0.5 -115 at Fanatics; ATL +1.5 -115 at FanDuel
Total
Over 51.5 -112
Under 51.5 -109
Fair, no vig: O -101 / U +101 (hold 5.0%)
Best: O 51.5 -110 at FanDuel; U 52.5 -115 at theScore Bet
Moneyline
CHI -117
ATL -105
Fair, no vig: CHI -105 / ATL +105 (hold 5.1%)
Best: CHI -115 at BetMGM; ATL +100 at FanDuel

Updated Fri 2:55 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (10)
BookCHIATLOverUnderCHI MLATL ML
DraftKings-1.5+100+1.5-120o51.5-112u51.5-108-118-102
FanDuel-1.5-105+1.5-115o51.5-110u51.5-110-118+100
BetMGM-1-105+1-112o52-108u52-110-115-102
Caesars-1.5-103+1.5-117o51.5-112u51.5-108-117-102
theScore Bet-1.5-105+1.5-115o52.5-105u52.5-115-115-105
BetRivers-1-113+1-109o51.5-112u51.5-109-117-106
Fanatics+0.5-115-0.5-105o52-110u52-110-115-105
Hard Rock Bet-1-110+1-110o51.5-110u51.5-110-115-105
Bally Bet-1-113+1-109o51.5-112u51.5-109-117-106
betPARX-1-113+1-109o51.5-112u51.5-109-117-106

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Injury report

From the NFL official injury report (NFL.com). Checked Fri 2:52 PM ET. Teams post practice reports Wednesday to Friday and game statuses Friday. We check every 30 minutes then and on game day. See the official report

Chicago

Missed practice: Dayo Odeyingbo (DE), Grady Jarrett (DT), Joe Thuney (G), Keyshaun Elliott (LB), Kyle Monangai (RB), T.J. Edwards (LB)

1 more limited in practice, no game status yet.

Atlanta

Missed practice: C.J. Henderson (CB), Jawaan Taylor (T), Za'Darius Smith (DE)

2 more limited in practice, no game status yet.

No status changes since the first report we saw (Fri 2:52 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Bears Falcons
Panthers
W 59-37 away
+22 · -3 Covered
L 3-34 home
-31 · +2.5 Didn't cover
Packers
L 7-31 away
-24 · -1.5 Didn't cover
W 35-14 away
+21 · +4.5 Covered

Against 2 common opponents: Bears lost by 1.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread. Falcons lost by 5.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
Opponent Bears Falcons
Rams
L 17-20 home
-3 · +3.5 Covered
W 27-24 home
+3 · +7.5 Covered
Vikings
L 24-27 home
-3 · -1.5 Didn't cover
W 22-6 away
+16 · +3.5 Covered
W 19-17 away
+2 · +3 Covered
-
Saints
W 26-14 home
+12 · -3.5 Covered
W 24-10 away
+14 · +1.5 Covered
-
W 19-17 home
+2 · -3.5 Didn't cover
49ers
L 38-42 away
-4 · +4.5 Covered
L 10-20 away
-10 · -1.5 Didn't cover
Commanders
W 25-24 away
+1 · +5.5 Covered
W 34-27 home
+7 · -2.5 Covered

Against 5 common opponents: Bears won by 0.8 on average, 5-1 against the spread. Falcons won by 5.3 on average, 4-2 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026

Chicago WLWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite2-2 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Atlanta LLWWL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home0-2 0%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-2 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Dec 31, 2023ATL 17, CHI 37CHI -2.5CHI covered39Over
Nov 20, 2022CHI 24, ATL 27ATL -2.5ATL covered48.5Over
Sep 27, 2020CHI 30, ATL 26ATL -2.5CHI covered46.5Over

Chicago 2-1 ATS in these meetings. 3 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

CHIATL
3-2Record2-3
3-2Against the spread2-3
1-4Over-under3-2
+2.7Avg cover margin+1.8
23.8Points per game23.8
19.2Points allowed24.4
5.57Yards per play6.05
407.4Yards per game375.0
4.70Rush yards per carry5.10
65.7Completion %62.7
43.7Third down %41.7
-3Turnover margin-4
11Sacks allowed11
41.8Penalty yards per game71.0

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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