NFL · 2026 betting profile
Atlanta Falcons
2-3 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 3-2 over-under · #14 of 32 in our ratings
Next gameSun Oct 18, 1 PMFOXFOX One
vs
Chicago Bears
Chicago BearsSpreadAtlanta +1
Total51.5
Moneyline-105
Upcoming lines
Sun Oct 18, 1 PM
Chicago3-2
Atlanta2-3-1+1o51.5u51.5-117-105–FOXFOX OneFOXFOX OneSun Oct 25, 1 PM
San Francisco5-0Atlanta2-3-4.5+4.5o49.5u49.5-230+185–FOXFOX OneFOXFOX One
Chicago3-2Atlanta2-3-1+1o51.5u51.5-117-105–FOXFOX OneFOXFOX OneSun Oct 25, 1 PMSan Francisco5-0Atlanta2-3-4.5+4.5o49.5u49.5-230+185–FOXFOX OneFOXFOX OneOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Home | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -19.2 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +15.8 |
| Favorite | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -10 |
| Underdog | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +4.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +1.8 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +4.1 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +6.2 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +4.1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +4.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs Baltimore | L 23-30 | -3 | L -10 | 44.5 | O +8.5 |
| Oct 5 | at New Orleans | W 45-24 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 48.5 | O +20.5 |
| Sep 24 | at Green Bay | W 35-14 | +4.5 | W +25.5 | 43.5 | O +5.5 |
| Sep 20 | vs Carolina | L 3-34 | +2.5 | L -28.5 | 43.5 | U -6.5 |
| Sep 13 | at Pittsburgh | L 13-20 | +6.5 | L -0.5 | 40.5 | U -7.5 |
Close is Atlanta's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 3-2 | 60% | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 8-9 | 8-9 | 47% | Small sample | 9-8 | 53% | -2.2 |
| 2024 | 8-9 | 7-10 | 41% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -3.7 |
| 2023 | 7-10 | 5-12 | 29% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -3.7 |
| 2022 | 7-10 | 9-8 | 53% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 7-10 | 7-10 | 41% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -4.9 |
| 2020 | 4-12 | 7-9 | 44% | Small sample | 7-9 | 44% | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 50% | Small sample | 7-9 | 44% | +1.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.