NFL · 2026 betting profile

Dallas Cowboys

2-3 straight up · 2-2-1 ATS · 4-1 over-under · #22 of 32 in our ratings

Against the spread

Split	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	Avg vs spread
All games	2-2-1	50%	Small sample	-1.6
Home	1-1	50%	Small sample	-2
Road	1-1	50%	Small sample	-2
Favorite	1-2	33%	Small sample	-5
Underdog	1-0-1	100%	Small sample	+3.5
Non-conference	2-2-1	50%	Small sample	-1.6
Last 5	2-2-1	50%	Small sample	-1.6

5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.

Split	O-U	Over %	Real or luck?	Avg vs total
All games	4-1	80%	Small sample	+4.5
Home	1-1	50%	Small sample	-2
Road	2-0	100%	Small sample	+8
Non-conference	4-1	80%	Small sample	+4.5
Last 5	4-1	80%	Small sample	+4.5

Date	Opponent	Result	Close	ATS	Total	O-U
Oct 8	vs Tampa Bay	L 16-24	-8.5	L -16.5	49.5	U -9.5
Oct 4	at Houston	W 34-30	+3	W +7	48.5	O +15.5
Sep 27	vs Baltimore	L 31-34	+3	P PK	54.5	O +10.5
Sep 20	vs Washington	W 37-20	-4.5	W +12.5	51.5	O +5.5
Sep 13	at New York	L 20-28	-3	L -11	47.5	O +0.5

Close is Dallas's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.

Season	SU	ATS	Cover %	Real or luck?	O-U	Over %	Avg vs spread
2026	2-3	2-2-1	50%	Small sample	4-1	80%	-1.6
2025	7-9	6-10	38%	Small sample	13-4	76%	-3.3
2024	7-10	7-10	41%	Small sample	11-6	65%	-3.8
2023	12-6	10-7-1	59%	Small sample	10-7-1	59%	+3.9
2022	13-6	11-8	58%	Small sample	9-10	47%	+3.5
2021	12-6	13-5	72%	Small sample	8-10	44%	+5
2020	6-10	5-11	31%	Small sample	10-6	62%	-3.1
2019	8-8	9-7	56%	Small sample	7-9	44%	+1.6

Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.