CFB · 2026 betting profile
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
5-1 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #22 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 10:30 PMESPN2ESPN Unlimited
at
California Golden Bears
California Golden BearsSpreadWake Forest -10
Total53.5
Moneyline-390
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +12.6 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +13.8 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +11.3 |
| Favorite | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | +13.4 |
| Underdog | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +11 |
| Conference | 4-0 | 100% | Small sample | +20.4 |
| Non-conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +16.2 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +4 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.2 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +5.8 |
| Conference | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +13 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | +4.1 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at NC State | W 38-14 | -4 | W +20 | 56.5 | U -4.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Stanford | W 57-3 | -14.5 | W +39.5 | 54.5 | O +5.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Louisville | W 30-27 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 57.5 | U -0.5 |
| Sep 18 | vs Miami | L 20-33 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 55.5 | U -2.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Purdue | W 38-36 | -2.5 | L -0.5 | 51.5 | O +22.5 |
| Sep 3 | vs Akron | W 38-16 | -27.5 | L -5.5 | 50.5 | O +3.5 |
Close is Wake Forest's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | +12.6 |
| 2025 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 69% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +5.7 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 46% | Small sample | 4-7 | 36% | -2.6 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 33% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -5.4 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -0.9 |
| 2021 | 11-3 | 7-6-1 | 54% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +3.3 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 6-3 | 67% | Small sample | 5-3 | 62% | +5.1 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 5-7-1 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -1.3 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.