CFB · 2026 betting profile
Nevada Wolf Pack
2-3 straight up · 3-2 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #93 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 7 PMCBSSN
at
North Dakota State Bison
North Dakota State BisonSpreadNevada +14.5
Total42.5
Moneyline+525
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 7 PM
Nevada2-3
North Dakota State5-1+14.5-14.5o42.5u42.5+525-835NDSU -15.5moved 1 to NEVCBSSNOpen NDSU -15.5 · moved 1 to NEVCBSSNSat Oct 24, 5 PM
San José State3-3Nevada2-3No line yet–MW+MW+
Nevada2-3North Dakota State5-1+14.5-14.5o42.5u42.5+525-835NDSU -15.5moved 1 to NEVCBSSNOpen NDSU -15.5 · moved 1 to NEVCBSSNSat Oct 24, 5 PMSan José State3-3Nevada2-3No line yet–MW+MW+Open = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +5.2 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +9.8 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1.8 |
| Favorite | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1.8 |
| Underdog | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +9.8 |
| Conference | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +4.2 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +5.8 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +5.2 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -0.7 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +1.8 |
| Road | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +6.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -5.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -0.7 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at UTEP | W 30-13 | -10 | W +7 | 48.5 | U -5.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Air Force | L 33-36 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 50.5 | O +18.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Middle Tennessee | L 20-27 | -3.5 | L -10.5 | 50.5 | U -3.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Montana State Bobcats | L 7-20 | +4.5 | L -8.5 | 51.5 | U -24.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Western Kentucky | W 49-14 | +1.5 | W +36.5 | 51.5 | O +11.5 |
Close is Nevada's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | +5.2 |
| 2025 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 3-10 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -2.2 |
| 2022 | 2-10 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 6-5-1 | 55% | +7.3 |
| 2021 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 9-4 | 69% | +2.1 |
| 2020 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 67% | Small sample | 4-5 | 44% | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -4.8 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.