OfftheNumber
New Mexico Lobos
4-1, 5-0 ATS
at
Sat Oct 17 · 10:30 PMFS1FOX OneClarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

The number

Spread
UNM -14.5 -110
HAW +14.5 -109
Open UNM -14.5
Fair, no vig: UNM -100 / HAW +100 (hold 4.5%)
Best: UNM -14.5 -110 at DraftKings; HAW +15.5 -115 at FanDuel
Total
Over 44.5 -107
Under 44.5 -115
Fair, no vig: O +103 / U -103 (hold 5.2%)
Best: O 44.5 -105 at FanDuel; U 44.5 -110 at theScore Bet
Moneyline
UNM -780
HAW +525
Fair, no vig: UNM -554 / HAW +554 (hold 4.6%)
Best: UNM -650 at BetMGM; HAW +530 at FanDuel

Updated Fri 3:40 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookUNMHAWOverUnderUNM MLHAW ML
DraftKings-14.5-110+14.5-110o44.5-108u44.5-112-675+490
FanDuel-15.5-105+15.5-115o44.5-105u44.5-115-780+530
BetMGM-14.5-110+14.5-108o44.5-108u44.5-110-650+500
Caesars-14.5-112+14.5-108o44.5-110u44.5-110-675+475
theScore Bet-14.5-115+14.5-105o44.5-110u44.5-110-700+450
BetRivers-14.5-112+14.5-112o44.5-107u44.5-117-835+525
Hard Rock Bet-14.5-110+14.5-110o44.5-105u44.5-115-850+525
Bally Bet-14.5-110+14.5-109o44.5-105u44.5-115-835+525
betPARX-14.5-110+14.5-109o44.5-105u44.5-115-835+525

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

-13-14-15-16key 14OpenNow
UNM line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
43444546OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the Mountain West availability report (Initial Report). Posted Wed 10:59 PM ET. First report a couple days out, then a final report before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

New Mexico
Out
  • Jack Layne QB
  • Cody Thumlert DE
  • Elvin Harris OL
  • Frankie Edwards CB
  • Jaxton Eck LB
  • Joey Olsen TE
  • Nick Wheeler S
  • Shawn Miller WR
  • Troy Omeire WR
Questionable
  • Abraham Williams WR
  • Kiefer Sibley RB
  • Massiah Mingo WR
  • Tripp Walsh TE
Hawai'i
Out
  • Anthony Hickman TE
  • Ha'aheo Dela Cruz DL
  • Joenel Figueroa DB
  • Khalil Walker OL
  • Luther McCoy DL
  • Pofele Ashlock WR
  • Robert Haynes WR
Questionable
  • Tre' Griffiths WR

No status changes since the first report we saw (Wed 10:59 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 3 on New Mexico
New Mexico 30 Hawai'i

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent New Mexico Hawai'i
New Mexico St
W 42-18 away
+24 · -11.5 Covered
W 29-19 home
+10 · -7.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: New Mexico won by 24.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. Hawai'i won by 10.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
Opponent New Mexico Hawai'i
Air Force
W 20-3 away
+17 · -3.5 Covered
W 44-35 away
+9 · +6.5 Covered
Colorado St
W 20-17 home
+3 · -15.5 Didn't cover
W 31-19 away
+12 · +2.5 Covered
San Diego St
W 23-17 home
+6 · +1.5 Covered
W 38-6 home
+32 · +6.5 Covered
San José St
L 28-35 away
-7 · +2.5 Didn't cover
L 38-45 away
-7 · +2.5 Didn't cover
UNLV
W 40-35 away
+5 · +4.5 Covered
L 10-38 away
-28 · +2.5 Didn't cover
Utah St
W 33-14 home
+19 · -2.5 Covered
W 44-26 home
+18 · +1.5 Covered

Against 6 common opponents: New Mexico won by 7.2 on average, 4-2 against the spread. Hawai'i won by 6.0 on average, 4-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
3 New Mexico0 Hawai'i
New Mexico +14.53
Big Cat 1u*Line +14.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postRico Bosco 1u*Line +14.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 48-35 · Original postDave Portnoy 1u*Line +14.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 32-34-1 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026

New Mexico WWWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-0 100%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite4-0 100%Small sample
Last 55-0 100%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Hawai'i LLWLLW

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample1-5 17% overSmall sample
Home1-2 33%Small sample0-3 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-2 33%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Nov 30, 2024UNM 30, HAW 38UNM -6.5HAW covered61.5Over
Oct 21, 2023HAW 21, UNM 42HAW -1.5UNM covered59.5Over
Nov 7, 2020UNM 33, HAW 39HAW -14UNM covered66.5Over
Oct 26, 2019HAW 45, UNM 31HAW -10HAW covered79.5Under

New Mexico 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

UNMHAW
4-1Record1-5
5-0Against the spread2-4
3-2Over-under1-5
+19.3Avg cover margin-6.5
43.4Points per game16.7
10.6Points allowed25.7
5.71Yards per play4.79
386.2Yards per game353.5
4.70Rush yards per carry3.30
57.8Completion %58.2
42.2Third down %38.4
+19Turnover margin+1
13Sacks allowed17
44.8Penalty yards per game53.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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