OfftheNumber
3-3, 1-5 ATS
at
Fri Oct 16 · 8 PMFOXFOX OneRoss-Ade Stadium

The number

Spread
WASH +3 -109
PUR -3 -115
Open PUR -3
Fair, no vig: WASH +103 / PUR -103 (hold 5.6%)
Best: WASH +3.5 -120 at theScore Bet; PUR -2.5 -128 at FanDuel
Total
Over 50.5 -110
Under 50.5 -114
Fair, no vig: O +102 / U -102 (hold 5.7%)
Best: O 50 -113 at betPARX; U 50.5 -108 at BetMGM
Moneyline
WASH +134
PUR -165
Fair, no vig: WASH +146 / PUR -146 (hold 5.0%)
Best: WASH +140 at theScore Bet; PUR -159 at Caesars

Updated Fri 3:40 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookWASHPUROverUnderWASH MLPUR ML
DraftKings+3-105-3-115o50.5-110u50.5-110+136-162
FanDuel+2.5+104-2.5-128o50.5-110u50.5-110+134-162
BetMGM+3-105-3-115o50.5-110u50.5-108+138-165
Caesars+3-110-3-110o50.5-106u50.5-114+134-159
theScore Bet+3.5-120-3.5+100o50.5-105u50.5-115+140-165
BetRivers+3-109-3-115o50-114u50-109+133-175
Hard Rock Bet+3.5-125-3.5+100o50.5-105u50.5-115+135-165
Bally Bet+3-109-3-115o50-113u50-108+133-167
betPARX+3-109-3-115o50-113u50-108+133-167

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Sitting right on 3. A half point either way matters here.

-2-3-4-5key 3OpenNow
PUR line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
4849505152OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the Big Ten availability report (Thursday report). Posted Thu 8 PM ET. Schools file it by 8 PM ET the three nights before the game and 2 hours before kickoff. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Washington
Out
  • Ansu Sanoe RB
  • Christian Moss WR
  • Jack Shaffer OL
  • Jayden Limar RB
  • Jordan Washington RB
  • Kai McClendon DL
  • Quaid Carr RB
  • S CJ Christian
  • Xe'ree Alexander LB
Questionable
  • Demond Williams Jr. QB
Probable

Champ Taulealea (OL), Jacob Lane (EDG), Jeron Jones (CB), Jordan Clay (WR), Justin Hylkema (OL), Rahshawn Clark (CB)

Purdue
Out
  • Joey Tanona OL
  • Kylan Fox TE
  • Mister Clark DB
  • Raderrion Daniels DB

What changed and what the line did

  1. Line moved 0.5 pts toward PUR (PUR -3 to PUR -3.5).
  2. Line moved 0.5 pts toward WASH (PUR -3.5 to PUR -3).

Lines from our snapshots of 10 legal US books. A move right after news doesn't prove the news caused it, but it's usually why.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Total2 of 3 on Under
Over 12 Under

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Tracker bettors

Shows up once 10 people log a bet on this game. Log yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent Washington Purdue
Minnesota
L 24-27 home
-3 · -12.5 Didn't cover
W 41-13 home
+28 · +2.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: Washington lost by 3.0 on average, 0-1 against the spread. Purdue won by 28.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent Washington Purdue
Illinois
W 42-25 home
+17 · -3.5 Covered
L 27-43 home
-16 · +7.5 Didn't cover
Michigan
L 7-24 away
-17 · +4.5 Didn't cover
L 16-21 away
-5 · +22.5 Covered
Ohio St
L 6-24 home
-18 · +9.5 Didn't cover
L 10-34 home
-24 · +30.5 Covered
Rutgers
W 38-19 home
+19 · -9.5 Covered
L 24-27 home
-3 · -2.5 Didn't cover

Against 4 common opponents: Washington won by 0.2 on average, 2-2 against the spread. Purdue lost by 12.0 on average, 2-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
No picks
Total
1 Over2 Under
Under 51.52
Rico Bosco 1u*Line 51.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 48-35 · Original postTom Fornelli 1uLine 51.5 · Price -104 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 8:53 AM ET · Record 41-48-1 · Original post
Over 51.51
Big Cat 1u*Line 51.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Posted Oct 15 4:01 PM ET · Record 94-66-4 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026

Washington LLLLWL

ATSTotals
All games1-5 17%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road1-0 100%Small sample0-1 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-0 100%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Purdue LWLLWW

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample4-0 100% overSmall sample
As favorite0-1 0%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Nov 15, 2025PUR 13, WASH 49WASH -14.5WASH covered51.5Over

Washington 1-0 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

WASHPUR
3-3Record3-3
1-5Against the spread3-3
3-3Over-under5-1
-13.1Avg cover margin+4.2
26.2Points per game32.2
22.2Points allowed31.3
5.39Yards per play5.84
369.8Yards per game415.5
3.10Rush yards per carry3.70
67.4Completion %69.7
31.2Third down %44.7
+6Turnover margin+4
21Sacks allowed13
73.2Penalty yards per game54.5

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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