OfftheNumber
New Mexico Lobos
4-1, 5-0 ATS
42
at
18
FinalCBSSN

Closing number

Spread
UNM -11.5
NMSU +11.5
Open –
Total
Over 47.5
Under 47.5

Source: DraftKings.

UNM 42, NMSU 18. UNM covered by 12.5, over by 12.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread2 of 2 on New Mexico
New Mexico 20 New Mexico St

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.

Opponent New Mexico New Mexico St
Mercyhurst Lakers
W 70-7 home
+63 · -42.5 Covered
W 51-14 home
+37 · -29.5 Covered

Against 1 common opponent: New Mexico won by 63.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread. New Mexico St won by 37.0 on average, 1-0 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
2 New Mexico0 New Mexico St
New Mexico -11.52
Big Cat *Line -11.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postRico Bosco *Line -11.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.6u · Original post

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

New Mexico WWWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-0 100%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite4-0 100%Small sample
Last 55-0 100%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

New Mexico State WWLLWL

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample2-4 33% overSmall sample
Home2-1 67%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As underdog1-3 25%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 26, 2026UNM 42, NMSU 18UNM -11.5UNM covered47.5Over
Sep 27, 2025NMSU 20, UNM 38UNM -17.5UNM covered53.5Over
Sep 28, 2024UNM 50, NMSU 40UNM -8.5UNM covered53.5Over
Sep 16, 2023NMSU 27, UNM 17UNM -2.5NMSU covered52Under
Oct 15, 2022UNM 9, NMSU 21UNM -7NMSU covered38.5Under
Sep 11, 2021NMSU 25, UNM 34UNM -19.5NMSU covered56Over
Sep 21, 2019NMSU 52, UNM 55UNM -4NMSU covered105.5Over

New Mexico 3-4 ATS in these meetings. 7 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

UNMNMSU
4-1Record2-4
5-0Against the spread3-3
3-2Over-under2-4
+19.3Avg cover margin+2.2
43.4Points per game23.7
10.6Points allowed25.7
5.71Yards per play5.64
386.2Yards per game373.3
4.70Rush yards per carry4.50
57.8Completion %55.4
42.2Third down %41.0
+19Turnover margin-1
13Sacks allowed13
44.8Penalty yards per game51.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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