OfftheNumber
17Iowa Hawkeyes
5-1, 4-2 ATS
20
at
19
FinalCBSParamount+

Closing number

Spread
IOWA +4.5
MICH -4.5
Open –
Total
Over 39.5
Under 39.5

Source: DraftKings.

IOWA 20, MICH 19. IOWA covered by 5.5, under by 0.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 5 on Iowa
Iowa 32 Michigan
Total1 capper on Under
Over 01 Under
Moneyline3 of 5 on Michigan
Iowa 23 Michigan

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent Iowa Michigan
Michigan St
W 20-17 home
+3 · -17.5 Didn't cover
W 31-20 away
+11 · -13.5 Didn't cover
Nebraska
W 40-16 away
+24 · -5.5 Covered
W 30-27 away
+3 · -1.5 Covered
USC
L 21-26 away
-5 · +6.5 Covered
L 13-31 away
-18 · +2.5 Didn't cover
Wisconsin
W 37-0 away
+37 · -4.5 Covered
W 24-10 home
+14 · -17.5 Didn't cover

Against 4 common opponents: Iowa won by 14.8 on average, 3-1 against the spread. Michigan won by 2.5 on average, 1-3 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
3 Iowa2 Michigan
Iowa -5.53
Nick Saban *Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 11:59 AM ET · Flat record 3-3, -0.3u · Original postRico Bosco *Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original postBig Cat *Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Michigan -5.52
Josh Pate *Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 3:21 AM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postDave Portnoy *Line -5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
0 Over1 Under
Under 38.51
Rico Bosco *Line 38.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 48-35, +8.7u · Original post
Iowa team under 16.51
Tom Fornelli Line 16.5 · Price -106 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 9:10 AM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on Michigan, Kirk Herbstreit on Michigan, Desmond Howard on Michigan, Pat McAfee on Iowa, Nick Saban on Iowa

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Iowa WLWWLW

ATSTotals
All games4-2 67%Small sample2-4 33% overSmall sample
Road2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-1 67%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Michigan LWWLL

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample1-3 25% overSmall sample
As favorite1-3 25%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 26, 2026IOWA 20, MICH 19MICH -4.5IOWA covered39.5Under
Dec 2, 2023MICH 26, IOWA 0MICH -21.5MICH covered36Under
Oct 1, 2022MICH 27, IOWA 14MICH -10.5MICH covered42Under
Dec 4, 2021MICH 42, IOWA 3MICH -12MICH covered44Over
Oct 5, 2019IOWA 3, MICH 10MICH -4MICH covered23.5Under

Iowa 1-4 ATS in these meetings. 5 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

IOWAMICH
5-1Record3-2
4-2Against the spread2-3
2-4Over-under1-4
+6.3Avg cover margin-6.3
31.0Points per game23.0
14.5Points allowed15.8
6.45Yards per play5.25
403.2Yards per game315.8
6.10Rush yards per carry3.80
62.6Completion %59.0
39.4Third down %40.7
+5Turnover margin+1
5Sacks allowed8
53.3Penalty yards per game66.4

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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