Spread
No picks
Total
0 Over1 Under
Under 53.51
Tom Fornelli Line 53.5 · Price -110 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Aug 27 2:06 PM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Moneyline
No picks
Closing number
Spread
NCSU +4
UVA -4
Open –
Total
Over 50.5
Under 50.5
Source: DraftKings.
NCSU 8, UVA 34. UVA covered by 22, under by 8.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.
Common opponents
No common opponents yet this season.
Last season (2025): 5 common opponents
| Opponent |  NC St |  Virginia |
|---|---|---|
 Duke | L 33-45 away -12 · +3.5 Didn't cover | W 34-17 away +17 · +5.5 Covered |
| - | L 20-27 neutral -7 · -3.5 Didn't cover | |
 Florida St | W 21-11 home +10 · +6.5 Covered | W 46-38 home +8 · +6.5 Covered |
 North Carolina | W 42-19 home +23 · -7 Covered | W 17-16 away +1 · -12.5 Didn't cover |
 Virginia Tech | L 21-23 home -2 · -10.5 Didn't cover | W 27-7 home +20 · -8.5 Covered |
 Wake Forest | W 34-24 away +10 · -7.5 Covered | L 9-16 home -7 · -7.5 Didn't cover |
Against 5 common opponents: NC St won by 5.8 on average, 3-2 against the spread. Virginia won by 5.3 on average, 3-3 against the spread.
What the public cappers like
* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks
Betting form, 2026 to date
NC State LWLLWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 33%Small sample | 4-2 67% overSmall sample |
| Road | 0-2 0%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 1-3 25%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Virginia WWLWLL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 50%Small sample | 3-3 50% overSmall sample |
| Home | 3-1 75%Small sample | 2-2 50% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-3 50%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 40%Small sample |
6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | NCSU 8, UVA 34 | UVA -4 | UVA covered | 50.5 | Under |
| Sep 6, 2025 | UVA 31, NCSU 35 | NCSU -2.5 | NCSU covered | 52.5 | Over |
| Sep 22, 2023 | NCSU 24, UVA 21 | NCSU -8 | UVA covered | 47 | Under |
| Oct 10, 2020 | NCSU 38, UVA 21 | UVA -7 | NCSU covered | 58.5 | Over |
NC State 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.
CFB (FBS), 2020-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total
Side by side
 NCSU | UVA  | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 4-2 |
| 2-4 | Against the spread | 3-3 |
| 4-2 | Over-under | 3-3 |
| +0.4 | Avg cover margin | -2.5 |
| 33.0 | Points per game | 32.8 |
| 27.7 | Points allowed | 19.2 |
| 5.85 | Yards per play | 5.27 |
| 426.3 | Yards per game | 379.3 |
| 4.50 | Rush yards per carry | 3.90 |
| 67.5 | Completion % | 64.6 |
| 51.1 | Third down % | 33.3 |
| +5 | Turnover margin | +8 |
| 11 | Sacks allowed | 20 |
| 47.5 | Penalty yards per game | 51.7 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.