Closing number
Source: DraftKings.
BUF 5, TOR 4. BUF covered by 2.5, over by 2.5.
Our crowd
Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.
Public cappers
None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.
Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Sabres |  Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
 Canadiens | L 3-4 away -1 · +1.5 Covered | L 2-3 home -1 · -1.5 Didn't cover |
 Mammoth | L 1-4 home -3 · +1.5 Didn't cover | L 4-5 away -1 · +1.5 Covered |
Against 2 common opponents: Sabres lost by 2.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread. Maple Leafs lost by 1.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.
Betting form, 2026-27 to date
Buffalo WLLWWW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-4 50%Small sample | 5-3 62% overSmall sample |
| Road | 2-1 67%Small sample | 3-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 3-2 60%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
8 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Toronto LLWWWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-5 38%Small sample | 5-3 62% overSmall sample |
| Home | 0-5 0%Small sample | 2-3 40% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 0-5 0%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 60%Small sample |
8 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Head to head since 2026
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | BUF 5, TOR 4 | TOR -1.5 | BUF covered | 6.5 | Over |
Buffalo 1-0 ATS in these meetings. 1 meeting is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
 BUF | TOR  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 3-5 |
| 4-4 | Against the spread | 3-5 |
| 5-3 | Over-under | 5-3 |
| -0.4 | Avg cover margin | -0.4 |
| 3.0 | Points per game | 3.5 |
| 3.8 | Points allowed | 3.5 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.