NFL · 2026 betting profile
Miami Dolphins
0-5 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #28 of 32 in our ratings
Next gameSun Oct 25, 1 PMCBSParamount+
at
New York Jets
New York JetsSpreadMiami +4.5
Total38.5
Moneyline+185
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1.8 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -5.2 |
| Underdog | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.8 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -1 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -3.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs Cincinnati | L 24-31 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 45.5 | O +9.5 |
| Oct 4 | at Minnesota | L 10-15 | +10 | W +5 | 38.5 | U -13.5 |
| Sep 27 | vs Kansas City | L 10-24 | +10 | L -4 | 45.5 | U -11.5 |
| Sep 20 | at San Francisco | L 13-35 | +12.5 | L -9.5 | 44.5 | O +3.5 |
| Sep 13 | at Las Vegas | L 13-27 | +3 | L -11 | 40.5 | U -0.5 |
Close is Miami's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | -3.8 |
| 2025 | 7-10 | 8-8 | 50% | Small sample | 10-7 | 59% | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 8-9 | 7-10 | 41% | Small sample | 8-9 | 47% | -2 |
| 2023 | 11-7 | 9-8-1 | 53% | Small sample | 9-9 | 50% | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 9-9 | 9-8-1 | 53% | Small sample | 9-9 | 50% | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 9-8 | 9-7-1 | 56% | Small sample | 7-10 | 41% | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 10-5 | 67% | Small sample | 7-9 | 44% | +3.5 |
| 2019 | 5-11 | 9-7 | 56% | Small sample | 9-7 | 56% | -1.7 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.