The number
Updated Fri 1:55 PM ET Consensus of 10 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.
Every book (10)
| Book | BUF | LV | Over | Under | BUF ML | LV ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -5.5-102 | +5.5-118 | o53.5-115 | u53.5-105 | -230 | +190 |
| FanDuel | -5.5-105 | +5.5-115 | o53.5-110 | u53.5-110 | -245 | +200 |
| BetMGM | -4.5-110 | +4.5-108 | o53.5-108 | u53.5-110 | -235 | +195 |
| Caesars | -4.5-114 | +4.5-106 | o53.5-107 | u53.5-113 | -240 | +195 |
| theScore Bet | -4.5-115 | +4.5-105 | o53.5-110 | u53.5-110 | -240 | +200 |
| BetRivers | -5-113 | +5-108 | o53-112 | u53-109 | -250 | +200 |
| Fanatics | -4.5-115 | +4.5-105 | o53.5-110 | u53.5-110 | -225 | +185 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -5-110 | +5-110 | o53.5-110 | u53.5-110 | -240 | +195 |
| Bally Bet | -5-113 | +5-108 | o53-112 | u53-109 | -250 | +200 |
| betPARX | -5-113 | +5-108 | o53-112 | u53-109 | -250 | +200 |
Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.
Line movement
Key numbers crossed: none (BUF -5.5 to BUF -5).
Betting form, 2026
Buffalo WWWLW
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 4-1 80% overSmall sample |
| Road | 2-0 100%Small sample | 2-0 100% overSmall sample |
| As favorite | 3-1 75%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Las Vegas WWWWL
| ATS | Totals | |
|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 80%Small sample | 3-2 60% overSmall sample |
| Home | 2-0 100%Small sample | 1-1 50% overSmall sample |
| As underdog | 3-1 75%Small sample | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 80%Small sample |
5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.
Common opponents
Same opponents, side by side: how each team did, by how much, and whether they covered. Margin is points scored minus allowed; the line is that team's closing spread.
| Opponent |  Bills |  Raiders |
|---|---|---|
 Chargers | W 24-16 home +8 · -7 Covered | W 26-14 away +12 · +6.5 Covered |
 Patriots | L 26-29 home -3 · -7 Didn't cover | L 17-45 away -28 · +3.5 Didn't cover |
Against 2 common opponents: Bills won by 2.5 on average, 1-1 against the spread. Raiders lost by 8.0 on average, 1-1 against the spread.
Last season (2025): 7 common opponents
| Opponent | Bills | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
 Browns | W 23-20 away +3 · -10.5 Didn't cover | L 10-24 home -14 · -3.5 Didn't cover |
 Broncos | L 30-33 away -3 · +1.5 Didn't cover | L 7-10 away -3 · +9.5 Covered |
| - | L 17-24 home -7 · +8.5 Covered | |
 Texans | L 19-23 away -4 · -4.5 Didn't cover | L 21-23 away -2 · +14.5 Covered |
 Jaguars | W 27-24 away +3 · +1.5 Covered | L 29-30 home -1 · +1.5 Covered |
 Chiefs | W 28-21 home +7 · +2.5 Covered | L 0-31 away -31 · +13.5 Didn't cover |
| - | W 14-12 home +2 · +3.5 Covered | |
| Patriots | L 20-23 home -3 · -7.5 Didn't cover | W 20-13 away +7 · +2.5 Covered |
W 35-31 away +4 · -2.5 Covered | - | |
 Eagles | L 12-13 home -1 · -3.5 Didn't cover | L 0-31 away -31 · +12.5 Didn't cover |
Against 7 common opponents: Bills won by 0.8 on average, 3-5 against the spread. Raiders lost by 8.9 on average, 6-3 against the spread.
Head to head since 2019
| Date | Score | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2023 | LV 10, BUF 38 | BUF -7.5 | BUF covered | 47 | Over |
| Oct 4, 2020 | BUF 30, LV 23 | BUF -3.5 | BUF covered | 52.5 | Over |
Buffalo 2-0 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.
Side by side
 BUF | LV  | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| 4-1 | Against the spread | 4-1 |
| 4-1 | Over-under | 3-2 |
| +1.1 | Avg cover margin | +3.4 |
| 32.8 | Points per game | 26.4 |
| 28.2 | Points allowed | 25.8 |
| 6.91 | Yards per play | 5.31 |
| 407.8 | Yards per game | 345.4 |
| 5.40 | Rush yards per carry | 3.00 |
| 65.9 | Completion % | 65.6 |
| 50.0 | Third down % | 39.4 |
| -3 | Turnover margin | +5 |
| 10 | Sacks allowed | 8 |
| 72.4 | Penalty yards per game | 44.2 |
Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.