OfftheNumber
2-2, 2-2 ATS
18
at
3-2, 3-2 ATS
21
FinalFOXFOX One

Closing number

Spread
CAR -2.5
CLE +2.5
Open –
Total
Over 41.5
Under 41.5

Source: DraftKings.

CAR 18, CLE 21. CLE covered by 5.5, under by 2.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
Opponent Panthers Browns
Bills
L 9-40 home
-31 · +7.5 Didn't cover
L 20-23 home
-3 · +10.5 Covered
Packers
W 16-13 away
+3 · +13.5 Covered
W 13-10 home
+3 · +7.5 Covered
Dolphins
W 27-24 home
+3 · +1.5 Covered
W 31-6 home
+25 · -2.5 Covered
Patriots
L 13-42 away
-29 · +3 Didn't cover
L 13-32 away
-19 · +6.5 Didn't cover
Jets
W 13-6 away
+7 · +1.5 Covered
L 20-27 away
-7 · -2.5 Didn't cover
49ers
L 9-20 away
-11 · +7 Didn't cover
L 8-26 home
-18 · +5.5 Didn't cover

Against 6 common opponents: Panthers lost by 9.7 on average, 3-3 against the spread. Browns lost by 3.2 on average, 3-3 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026 to date

Carolina LWLW

ATSTotals
All games2-2 50%Small sample2-2 50% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample0-2 0% overSmall sample
As favorite1-1 50%Small sample
Last 52-2 50%Small sample

4 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Cleveland LWWWL

ATSTotals
All games3-2 60%Small sample3-2 60% overSmall sample
Home2-0 100%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As underdog3-2 60%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

NFL, 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 27, 2026CAR 18, CLE 21CAR -2.5CLE covered41.5Under
Sep 11, 2022CLE 26, CAR 24CAR -1.5CLE covered42Over

Carolina 0-2 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

NFL, 2022-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 73% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

CARCLE
2-2Record3-2
2-2Against the spread3-2
2-2Over-under3-2
+3.4Avg cover margin+1.1
30.2Points per game18.6
27.2Points allowed22.4
6.29Yards per play5.04
421.5Yards per game296.2
4.40Rush yards per carry3.70
62.0Completion %64.4
38.0Third down %30.6
+4Turnover margin+2
10Sacks allowed19
67.5Penalty yards per game65.4

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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