CFB · 2026 betting profile
UCF Knights
3-3 straight up · 4-2 ATS · 3-3 over-under · #47 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 24, TBATV TBA
vs
8BYU Cougars
8BYU CougarsSpreadUCF +8.5
Total45.5
Moneyline+275
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | +5.2 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +10.5 |
| Road | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -0.2 |
| Favorite | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +10 |
| Underdog | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +7.5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +1.5 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-3 | 50% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +9.8 |
| Road | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -8.8 |
| Conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -1.5 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +2.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -3.5 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Oklahoma State | L 28-42 | +10.5 | L -3.5 | 53.5 | O +16.5 |
| Oct 3 | at Houston | L 17-27 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 50.5 | U -6.5 |
| Sep 26 | vs TCU | W 21-13 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 48.5 | U -14.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Georgia State | W 44-30 | -17.5 | L -3.5 | 50.5 | O +23.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Pittsburgh | L 7-12 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 55.5 | U -36.5 |
| Sep 3 | vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | W 73-6 | -43.5 | W +23.5 | 58.5 | O +20.5 |
Close is UCF's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 67% | Small sample | 3-3 | 50% | +5.2 |
| 2025 | 5-7 | 4-7 | 36% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 8-4 | 67% | -3.1 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 9-5 | 7-7 | 50% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | -1 |
| 2021 | 9-4 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -2.1 |
| 2020 | 6-4 | 3-7 | 30% | Small sample | 6-4 | 60% | -3.5 |
| 2019 | 10-3 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | +0.9 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.