CFB · 2026 betting profile
Texas Longhorns
4-1 straight up · 1-4 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #11 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 12 PMABCESPN Unlimited
vs
Florida Gators
Florida GatorsSpreadTexas -11.5
Total51.5
Moneyline-450
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 12 PM
Florida4-2
7Texas4-1+11.5-11.5o51.5u51.5+340-450TEX -9.5moved 2 to TEXABCESPN UnlimitedOpen TEX -9.5 · moved 2 to TEXABCESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM
9Ole Miss4-17Texas4-1+6.5-6.5o53.5u53.5+190-230–ABCESPN UnlimitedABCESPN Unlimited
Florida4-27Texas4-1+11.5-11.5o51.5u51.5+340-450TEX -9.5moved 2 to TEXABCESPN UnlimitedOpen TEX -9.5 · moved 2 to TEXABCESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM9Ole Miss4-17Texas4-1+6.5-6.5o53.5u53.5+190-230–ABCESPN UnlimitedABCESPN UnlimitedOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +5.2 |
| Road | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -2.5 |
| Favorite | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Conference | 0-2 | 0% | Small sample | -6.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | +5.2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | +0.5 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.7 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.2 |
| Road | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -17.5 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -3.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.7 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Oklahoma | L 24-27 | -7.5 | L -10.5 | 40.5 | O +10.5 |
| Sep 26 | at Tennessee | W 20-17 | -5.5 | L -2.5 | 54.5 | U -17.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs UTSA | W 30-6 | -29.5 | L -5.5 | 58.5 | U -22.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs Ohio State | W 24-23 | -2.5 | L -1.5 | 50.5 | U -3.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Texas State | W 59-7 | -29.5 | W +22.5 | 61.5 | O +4.5 |
Close is Texas's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 10-3 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | -1.9 |
| 2024 | 13-3 | 8-8 | 50% | Small sample | 6-10 | 38% | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 12-2 | 7-6-1 | 54% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | +3.4 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 6-7 | 46% | +4.7 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -2.2 |
| 2020 | 7-3 | 4-4-1 | 50% | Small sample | 7-3 | 70% | +6 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 6-5-2 | 55% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | +2.4 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.