CFB · 2026 betting profile
Oregon Ducks
3-2 straight up · 2-3 ATS · 4-1 over-under · #20 of 138 in our ratings
Next gameSat Oct 17, 11 PMFOXFOX One
vs
Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska CornhuskersSpreadOregon -7
Total51.5
Moneyline-260
Upcoming lines
Sat Oct 17, 11 PM
Nebraska5-1
Oregon3-2+7-7o51.5u51.5+210-260ORE -7FOXFOX OneOpen ORE -7FOXFOX OneSat Oct 24, TBAOregon3-2
Illinois3-3No line yet–TV TBATV TBA
Nebraska5-1Oregon3-2+7-7o51.5u51.5+210-260ORE -7FOXFOX OneOpen ORE -7FOXFOX OneSat Oct 24, TBAOregon3-2Illinois3-3No line yet–TV TBATV TBAOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.2 |
| Home | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -1.3 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -11 |
| Favorite | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.2 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -0.8 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -8.2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.2 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +3.3 |
| Home | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | -1.8 |
| Road | 2-0 | 100% | Small sample | +11 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -9 |
| Non-conference | 3-0 | 100% | Small sample | +11.5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 80% | Small sample | +3.3 |
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs UCLA | L 15-17 | -10 | L -12 | 57.5 | U -25.5 |
| Sep 26 | at USC | W 41-27 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 60.5 | O +7.5 |
| Sep 18 | vs Portland State Vikings | W 84-0 | -58.5 | W +25.5 | 71.5 | O +12.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Oklahoma State | L 31-39 | -24.5 | L -32.5 | 55.5 | O +14.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs Boise State | W 34-27 | -24.5 | L -17.5 | 53.5 | O +7.5 |
Close is Oregon's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | 4-1 | 80% | -5.2 |
| 2025 | 13-2 | 8-7 | 53% | Small sample | 8-7 | 53% | +3.4 |
| 2024 | 13-1 | 6-6 | 50% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 12-2 | 10-3-1 | 77% | Small sample | 5-8-1 | 38% | +8.3 |
| 2022 | 10-3 | 8-5 | 62% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 10-4 | 5-9 | 36% | Small sample | 7-7 | 50% | -5.3 |
| 2020 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 43% | Small sample | 3-4 | 43% | -4.9 |
| 2019 | 12-2 | 7-6-1 | 54% | Small sample | 5-9 | 36% | +5.4 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.