North Carolina Tar Heels
3-2 straight up · 3-2 ATS · 2-3 over-under · #43 of 138 in our ratings
Duke Blue DevilsUpcoming lines
North Carolina3-2
Duke4-1+3-3o46.5u46.5+130-159DUKE -3.5moved 0.5 to UNCESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen DUKE -3.5 · moved 0.5 to UNCESPN2ESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 7:30 PM
Syracuse2-3North Carolina3-2No line yet–ACC NetworkESPN UnlimitedACC NetworkESPN UnlimitedOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +4.1 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +2.8 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1.2 |
| Favorite | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -4.5 |
| Underdog | 3-1 | 75% | Small sample | +6.2 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +1.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +6 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | +4.1 |
5 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.7 |
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -0.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -3 |
| Conference | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | -3 |
| Non-conference | 1-2 | 33% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -5.7 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh | W 21-17 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 47.5 | U -9.5 |
| Oct 3 | vs Notre Dame | L 26-37 | +21 | W +10 | 46.5 | O +16.5 |
| Sep 19 | at Clemson | L 20-28 | +3 | L -5 | 44.5 | O +3.5 |
| Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers | W 35-3 | -36.5 | L -4.5 | 55.5 | U -17.5 |
| Aug 29 | vs TCU | W 15-10 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 46.5 | U -21.5 |
Close is North Carolina's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 60% | Small sample | 2-3 | 40% | +4.1 |
| 2025 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | -3.9 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 3-10 | 23% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -3.5 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 6-6-1 | 50% | -2.3 |
| 2022 | 9-5 | 6-7-1 | 46% | Small sample | 6-8 | 43% | -1.9 |
| 2021 | 6-7 | 4-8-1 | 33% | Small sample | 8-5 | 62% | -7.1 |
| 2020 | 8-4 | 5-7 | 42% | Small sample | 7-5 | 58% | +1 |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 6-5-1 | 55% | Small sample | 6-6 | 50% | +7.3 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.