OfftheNumber
3-2, 2-3 ATS
at
Sat Oct 17 · 5 PMESPN+Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium

The number

Spread
TROY +3 -112
UL -3 -115
Open UL -4.5 moved 1.5
Fair, no vig: TROY +101 / UL -101 (hold 6.3%)
Best: TROY +3.5 -120 at theScore Bet; UL -2.5 -120 at Hard Rock Bet
Total
Over 49.5 -106
Under 49.5 -114
Fair, no vig: O +104 / U -104 (hold 4.7%)
Best: O 48.5 -115 at DraftKings; U 49.5 -110 at theScore Bet
Moneyline
TROY +128
UL -150
Fair, no vig: TROY +137 / UL -137 (hold 3.9%)
Best: TROY +136 at Caesars; UL -150 at theScore Bet

Updated Fri 4:10 PM ET Consensus of 9 US books: the line most books are dealing, with the middle price. Lines move. Check your book before you bet. Fair odds strip out the book's cut so you can see the price the market really implies.

Every book (9)
BookTROYULOverUnderTROY MLUL ML
DraftKings+3-105-3-115o48.5-115u48.5-105+130-155
FanDuel+3.5-122-3.5+100o49.5-106u49.5-114+128-154
BetMGM+3-105-3-115o48.5-120u48.5-110+130-160
Caesars+3-104-3-117o49-110u49-110+136-162
theScore Bet+3.5-120-3.5+100o49.5-110u49.5-110+130-150
BetRivers+3-113-3-112o49.5-108u49.5-115+120-150
Hard Rock Bet+2.5+100-2.5-120o48.5-115u48.5-105+120-150
Bally Bet+3-112-3-110o49.5-106u49.5-114+120-150
betPARX+3-112-3-110o49.5-106u49.5-114+120-150

Highlighted: the best number on each side. Legal US sportsbooks only.

Line movement

Key numbers crossed: none (UL -4.5 to UL -3).

Sitting right on 3. A half point either way matters here.

-2-3-4-5-6-7-8key 3key 7OpenNow
UL line, game-week open to now. Dashed lines are key numbers.
48495051OpenNow
Total, game-week open to now.

Injury report

From the Sun Belt availability report (Initial Report). Posted Wed 8:02 PM ET. First report three days out, then a game day update by 10:30 AM ET. We check every 30 minutes. See the official report

Troy
Out
  • Jackson Worley TE
  • Jermaine Paramore DL
  • Joe Lott DB
Doubtful
  • Patrick Screws OL
Questionable
  • Fabian Rogosch TE
Louisiana
Out
  • Alexander Spencer OLB
  • Braylon Walker DB
  • Collin Jacob DB
  • Conor McPherson ILB
  • Darell Smith RB
  • Darrell Smith RB
  • Hayden Darbonne ILB
  • J'Marion Gooch OL
  • Jeremiah Birdlow TE
  • Jeremiah Holts DL
  • Landon Strother WR
Questionable
  • Ja'Corian Norris WR
  • Ty Dominique DL
Probable

Kevin Malone (DB), Matthew Broussard (OL)

No status changes since the first report we saw (Wed 8:02 PM ET). Changes and line moves will line up here.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

None of the cappers we track have picked this one yet.

Off The Number users

Not enough picks yet. A split shows once 10 users pick this game. Add yours

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
Opponent Troy Louisiana
Arkansas St
L 10-23 home
-13 · -7.5 Didn't cover
W 34-30 away
+4 · +2.5 Covered
James Madison
L 14-31 away
-17 · +24.5 Covered
L 14-24 away
-10 · +18.5 Covered
South Alabama
W 31-24 home
+7 · +2.5 Covered
W 31-22 away
+9 · +3.5 Covered
Southern Miss
W 28-18 away
+10 · +6.5 Covered
L 10-22 home
-12 · +4.5 Didn't cover
Texas St
W 48-41 away
+7 · +7.5 Covered
W 42-39 home
+3 · +3.5 Covered
UL Monroe
W 37-14 away
+23 · -5.5 Covered
W 30-27 home
+3 · -10.5 Didn't cover

Against 6 common opponents: Troy won by 2.8 on average, 5-1 against the spread. Louisiana lost by 0.5 on average, 4-2 against the spread.

Betting form, 2026

Troy LLWLW

ATSTotals
All games2-3 40%Small sample1-4 20% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample0-2 0% overSmall sample
As underdog1-1 50%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

5 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Louisiana WWPWLW

ATSTotals
All games4-1-1 80%Small sample2-4 33% overSmall sample
Home1-1-1 50%Small sample0-3 0% overSmall sample
As favorite2-1-1 67%Small sample
Last 53-1-1 75%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 25, 2025UL 23, TROY 35TROY -7.5TROY covered47.5Over
Nov 23, 2024TROY 30, UL 51UL -7.5UL covered51.5Over
Nov 18, 2023UL 24, TROY 31TROY -16.5UL covered47.5Over
Nov 5, 2022TROY 23, UL 17TROY -3.5TROY covered42.5Under
Nov 13, 2021UL 35, TROY 21UL -6.5UL covered48Over
Nov 23, 2019TROY 3, UL 53UL -11.5UL covered74Under

Troy 2-4 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2019-2025 · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

TROYUL
3-2Record4-2
2-3Against the spread4-1-1
1-4Over-under2-4
+0.2Avg cover margin+6.7
28.0Points per game29.5
24.0Points allowed21.5
5.72Yards per play5.72
429.8Yards per game382.2
5.20Rush yards per carry4.70
56.1Completion %71.3
38.4Third down %38.2
+5Turnover margin+9
10Sacks allowed9
79.4Penalty yards per game42.2

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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