OfftheNumber
6-1, 2-5 ATS
31
at
FinalNBCPeacock

Closing number

Spread
USC -1.5
PSU +1.5
Open –
Total
Over 54.5
Under 54.5

Source: DraftKings.

USC 31, PSU 23. USC covered by 6.5, under by 0.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 4 on Penn St
USC 13 Penn St
Moneyline4 of 5 on USC
USC 41 Penn St

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 6 common opponents
Opponent USC Penn St
Iowa
W 26-21 home
+5 · -6.5 Didn't cover
L 24-25 away
-1 · +3.5 Covered
Michigan St
W 45-31 home
+14 · -18.5 Didn't cover
W 28-10 away
+18 · -6.5 Covered
Nebraska
W 21-17 away
+4 · -4.5 Didn't cover
W 37-10 home
+27 · -7.5 Covered
Northwestern
W 38-17 home
+21 · -14.5 Covered
L 21-22 home
-1 · -20.5 Didn't cover
Oregon
L 27-42 away
-15 · +12.5 Didn't cover
L 24-30 home
-6 · -4.5 Didn't cover
UCLA
W 29-10 home
+19 · -21.5 Didn't cover
L 37-42 away
-5 · -24.5 Didn't cover

Against 6 common opponents: USC won by 8.0 on average, 1-5 against the spread. Penn St won by 5.3 on average, 3-3 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 USC3 Penn St
Penn St +1.53
Big Cat *Line +1.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 10 5:28 PM ET · Flat record 94-66-4, +19.5u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postJosh Pate *Line +1.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 9 9:00 PM ET · Flat record 34-31, -0.1u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postStuckey *Line -1 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 9 12:56 PM ET · Flat record 41-28-1, +9.2u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
USC -2.51
Trent Attyah 2.5u*Line -2.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 2.5u as posted · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 10 10:10 AM ET · Flat record 20-29-1, -10.7u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
No picks

Straight up: GameDay celebrity guest picker on USC, Kirk Herbstreit on USC, Desmond Howard on USC, Pat McAfee on Penn State, Nick Saban on USC

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

USC WLLLLW

ATSTotals
All games2-5 29%Small sample4-3 57% overSmall sample
Road1-1 50%Small sample1-1 50% overSmall sample
As favorite2-4 33%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

7 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Penn State WLWLLL

ATSTotals
All games2-4 33%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home2-2 50%Small sample2-2 50% overSmall sample
As underdog0-1 0%Small sample
Last 51-4 20%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10, 2026USC 31, PSU 23USC -1.5USC covered54.5Under
Oct 12, 2024PSU 33, USC 30PSU -3.5USC covered51.5Over

USC 2-0 ATS in these meetings. 2 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2024-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

USCPSU
6-1Record3-3
2-5Against the spread2-4
4-3Over-under3-3
-5.3Avg cover margin-4.4
36.4Points per game30.5
25.1Points allowed18.5
6.58Yards per play5.91
462.4Yards per game392.8
4.30Rush yards per carry4.10
68.6Completion %63.2
51.2Third down %36.1
+3Turnover margin+6
7Sacks allowed8
55.7Penalty yards per game42.7

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

The Friday Number

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