OfftheNumber
5-1, 3-3 ATS
38
at
31
FinalThe CW

Closing number

Spread
BOIS -8.5
FRES +8.5
Open –
Total
Over 48.5
Under 48.5

Source: DraftKings.

BOIS 38, FRES 31. FRES covered by 1.5, over by 20.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and bets logged on our tracker.

Public cappers

Spread1 capper on Boise St
Boise St 10 Fresno St
Moneyline1 capper on Fresno St
Boise St 01 Fresno St

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. Tracker counts are anonymous: no names, and private bets stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 4 common opponents
Opponent Boise St Fresno St
Colorado St
W 49-21 home
+28 · -17.5 Covered
L 21-49 away
-28 · -5.5 Didn't cover
Nevada
W 24-3 away
+21 · -20.5 Covered
W 20-17 home
+3 · -13.5 Didn't cover
San Diego St
L 7-17 away
-10 · +2.5 Didn't cover
L 0-23 home
-23 · +3.5 Didn't cover
Utah St
W 25-24 away
+1 · -1.5 Didn't cover
L 17-28 home
-11 · -1.5 Didn't cover

Against 4 common opponents: Boise St won by 10.0 on average, 2-2 against the spread. Fresno St lost by 14.8 on average, 0-4 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
1 Boise St0 Fresno St
Boise St +6.51
Josh Pate 1u*Line +6.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 9 9:00 PM ET · Record 34-31 (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
0 Boise St1 Fresno St
Fresno St1
Tom Fornelli 1uPrice +217 · 1u (units not given, 1u used) · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Oct 8 3:39 PM ET · Record 41-48-1 · Original post

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Boise State WWLWLL

ATSTotals
All games3-3 50%Small sample5-1 83% overSmall sample
Road2-1 67%Small sample2-1 67% overSmall sample
As favorite2-3 40%Small sample
Last 52-3 40%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Fresno State LWWWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-1 83%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Home3-0 100%Small sample3-0 100% overSmall sample
As underdog2-1 67%Small sample
Last 55-0 100%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Oct 10, 2026BOIS 38, FRES 31BOIS -8.5FRES covered48.5Over
Nov 1, 2025FRES 30, BOIS 7BOIS -17.5FRES covered47.5Under
Nov 4, 2023BOIS 30, FRES 37FRES -2.5FRES covered54Over
Dec 3, 2022FRES 28, BOIS 16BOIS -3FRES covered54.5Under
Oct 8, 2022FRES 20, BOIS 40BOIS -10.5BOIS covered45Over
Nov 6, 2021BOIS 40, FRES 14FRES -4BOIS covered61Under

Boise State 2-4 ATS in these meetings. 6 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over. Closing lines from ESPN's archive.

Side by side

BOISFRES
5-1Record4-2
3-3Against the spread5-1
5-1Over-under3-3
+4.3Avg cover margin+8.1
35.0Points per game28.3
22.3Points allowed20.0
6.29Yards per play5.88
450.5Yards per game363.7
5.40Rush yards per carry4.50
66.3Completion %64.8
50.6Third down %36.6
+8Turnover margin+10
5Sacks allowed9
52.8Penalty yards per game32.0

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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