OfftheNumber
31
at
13
FinalBTNFOX One

Closing number

Spread
NEB -6
MSU +6
Open –
Total
Over 48.5
Under 48.5

Source: DraftKings.

NEB 31, MSU 13. NEB covered by 12, under by 4.5.

Our crowd

Who's on what before kickoff, from the cappers we track and picks our users log.

Public cappers

Spread3 of 3 on Michigan St
Nebraska 03 Michigan St
Moneyline1 capper on Michigan St
Nebraska 01 Michigan St

Each capper counts once. See their picks

Want sportsbook bets % and money %? DraftKings posts theirs free: DK betting splits. We quote a few big games by hand when we can. User picks are anonymous: no names, and private picks stay private.

Common opponents

No common opponents yet this season.

Last season (2025): 7 common opponents
Opponent Nebraska Michigan St
Iowa
L 16-40 home
-24 · +5.5 Didn't cover
L 17-20 away
-3 · +17.5 Covered
Maryland
W 34-31 away
+3 · -6.5 Didn't cover
W 38-28 neutral
+10 · -4 Covered
Michigan
L 27-30 home
-3 · +1.5 Didn't cover
L 20-31 home
-11 · +13.5 Covered
Minnesota
L 6-24 away
-18 · -6.5 Didn't cover
L 20-23 away
-3 · +5.5 Covered
Penn St
L 10-37 away
-27 · +7.5 Didn't cover
L 10-28 home
-18 · +6.5 Didn't cover
UCLA
W 28-21 away
+7 · +2.5 Covered
L 13-38 home
-25 · -6.5 Didn't cover
USC
L 17-21 home
-4 · +4.5 Covered
L 31-45 away
-14 · +18.5 Covered

Against 7 common opponents: Nebraska lost by 9.4 on average, 2-5 against the spread. Michigan St lost by 9.1 on average, 5-2 against the spread.

What the public cappers like

Spread
0 Nebraska3 Michigan St
Michigan St +5.53
Pat McAfee *Line +5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 26 11:59 AM ET · Flat record 3-3, -0.3u · Original postDave Portnoy *Line +5.5 · Price -110 (assumed, not posted) · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 3:28 PM ET · Flat record 32-34-1, -4.9u (Incomplete record. We're still adding the rest of their picks.) · Original postTom Fornelli Line +5.5 · Price -108 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 9:10 AM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post
Total
No picks
Moneyline
0 Nebraska1 Michigan St
Michigan St1
Tom Fornelli Price +189 · No unit size given · Collected after the fact from the public post · Posted Sep 24 1:33 PM ET · Flat record 41-48-1, -3.5u · Original post

* price not posted, -110 assumed. Tracked from public posts, not endorsed. All public picks

Betting form, 2026 to date

Nebraska WWLWWW

ATSTotals
All games5-1 83%Small sample3-3 50% overSmall sample
Road1-0 100%Small sample0-1 0% overSmall sample
As favorite4-1 80%Small sample
Last 54-1 80%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

Michigan State PWWLLW

ATSTotals
All games3-2-1 60%Small sample2-4 33% overSmall sample
Home2-1-1 67%Small sample2-2 50% overSmall sample
As underdog2-2 50%Small sample
Last 53-2 60%Small sample

6 graded games this season. Small sample: read it as a hint, not a trend.

CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); over-under vs the closing total

Head to head since 2019

DateScoreCloseATSTotalO-U
Sep 26, 2026NEB 31, MSU 13NEB -6NEB covered48.5Under
Oct 4, 2025MSU 27, NEB 38NEB -12.5MSU covered49.5Over
Nov 4, 2023NEB 17, MSU 20NEB -3MSU covered35Over
Sep 25, 2021NEB 20, MSU 23MSU -3.5NEB covered55Under

Nebraska 2-2 ATS in these meetings. 4 meetings is not a trend, and rosters turn over.

CFB (FBS), 2021-2025 + 2026 so far · regular season + postseason · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games); totals vs the closing total

Side by side

NEBMSU
5-1Record2-4
5-1Against the spread3-2-1
3-3Over-under2-4
+8.4Avg cover margin-1.3
39.2Points per game21.3
15.2Points allowed25.7
6.20Yards per play4.55
461.7Yards per game311.7
5.40Rush yards per carry3.30
64.0Completion %66.5
51.8Third down %42.5
+5Turnover margin+2
10Sacks allowed19
71.0Penalty yards per game39.8

Season to date. Stats from ESPN. Points from final scores. Bold is the better number.

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