California Golden Bears
3-3 straight up · 2-4 ATS · 2-4 over-under · #84 of 138 in our ratings
21Wake Forest Demon DeaconsUpcoming lines
21Wake Forest5-1
California3-3-10+10o53.5u53.5-390+300WAKE -9.5moved 0.5 to WAKEESPN2ESPN UnlimitedOpen WAKE -9.5 · moved 0.5 to WAKEESPN2ESPN UnlimitedSat Oct 24, 12 PMCalifornia3-3
24SMU4-1No line yet–The CWThe CWOpen = the line when most books posted it for this week (Sunday night). A dash means we don't have that number.
Against the spread
| Split | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -4.9 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -7.5 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.2 |
| Favorite | 0-1 | 0% | Small sample | -16.5 |
| Underdog | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.6 |
| Conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +4 |
| Non-conference | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -13.8 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 40% | Small sample | -2.2 |
6 graded games. Under 20 games, every split here is a small sample. Avg vs spread is the average margin against the closing number.
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing spread (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Over-under
| Split | O-U | Over % | Real or luck? | Avg vs total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | -3 |
| Home | 1-3 | 25% | Small sample | -4.8 |
| Road | 1-1 | 50% | Small sample | +0.5 |
| Conference | 0-3 | 0% | Small sample | -14.2 |
| Non-conference | 2-1 | 67% | Small sample | +8.2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 20% | Small sample | -6.7 |
CFB (FBS), 2026 so far · regular season only · graded vs the closing total (ESPN odds archive, DraftKings for 70% of games)
Game log with closing lines
| Date | Opponent | Result | Close | ATS | Total | O-U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs Virginia Tech | W 25-20 | +11.5 | W +16.5 | 51.5 | U -6.5 |
| Oct 3 | at UNLV | L 31-39 | +1.5 | L -6.5 | 51.5 | O +18.5 |
| Sep 25 | vs Clemson | L 10-24 | +2.5 | L -11.5 | 52.5 | U -18.5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Wagner Seahawks | W 49-7 | -58.5 | L -16.5 | 65.5 | U -9.5 |
| Sep 12 | at Syracuse | W 21-18 | +4 | W +7 | 56.5 | U -17.5 |
| Sep 5 | vs UCLA | L 24-45 | +2.5 | L -18.5 | 53.5 | O +15.5 |
Close is California's spread at kickoff, from ESPN's odds archive (DraftKings). ATS margin is how much they beat or missed the number by.
Season by season
| Season | SU | ATS | Cover % | Real or luck? | O-U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 33% | Small sample | 2-4 | 33% | -4.9 |
| 2025 | 7-6 | 5-8 | 38% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | -3 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 46% | Small sample | 7-6 | 54% | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 6-4-2 | 60% | -0.9 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 7-5 | 58% | Small sample | 5-7 | 42% | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 50% | Small sample | 1-3 | 25% | -5 |
| 2019 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 54% | Small sample | 5-8 | 38% | +1.2 |
Regular season and postseason, graded against the closing line. "Could be luck" means a coin flip could have done the same thing.